Fordham Rams

Men's · Atlantic 10 Conference · 0-1, 0-0 in conference · last L1

Next: vs Stonehill · Thu 5 Nov, 7:30 PM ET

Stonehill6%94%Fordham

Projected 81-61 · Game page

Makes the tournament2%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 11.8

Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 19-14

Net rating−0.2Rank 128 of 365 · offence 161, defence 116

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 19-14 (14 to 24 wins)
Projected conference record: 8-10
Wins or shares the conference title: 1%
Wins the conference tournament: 1%
Average seed if in the field: 11.8
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field2%
Round of 32<1%
Sweet 16<1%
Elite Eight0%
Final Four0%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result	Pick
Mon 2 Nov	at Kansasrank 3	Away	2%	54-79	L 65-95	Right
Thu 5 Nov7:30 PM ET	vs Stonehillrank 347	Home	94%	81-61	—
Tue 10 Nov7 PM ET	vs Ionarank 294	Home	89%	78-63	—

Rooting guide

Chance of the conference title now: 1% · the next 7 days

Thu 5 Nov: vs StonehillA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
Tue 10 Nov: vs IonaA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Amir LindseyG · transfer from UAlbany	1	31.0	3.0	4.0	7.0	−1.6	+0.2
Akira JacobsF	1	24.0	20.0	2.0	0.0	−1.4	+0.3
Rikus SchulteF	1	22.0	2.0	6.0	2.0	+2.1	+1.6
Kelvin OdihG · transfer from St John's	1	21.0	3.0	2.0	2.0	+1.6	+1.3
Hassan KoureissiG	1	20.0	10.0	5.0	2.0	−1.7	+0.1
Lateef Patrick Jr.G · transfer from SF Austin	1	20.0	13.0	2.0	0.0	+1.8	+1.4
Abass BodijaF	1	19.0	4.0	6.0	1.0	+0.8	+0.9
Jack WhitbournC	1	14.0	8.0	3.0	0.0	+0.1	+0.5
Roor AkhuarF	1	13.0	0.0	1.0	1.0	−0.6	+0.3
Desmond Bellot Jr.G	1	8.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	−1.4	+0.1
Omar EssamC	1	2.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	−1.2	0.0
JJ LaboyG · transfer from Miami	1	2.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	+0.5	+0.1
Frank Siaca BeyF	1	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	−1.2	0.0

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	49.7%rank 280	52.1%rank 330	50.4%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin	18.6%rank 151	19.7%rank 28	18.6%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin	32.1%rank 105	33.3%rank 326	31.7%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin	23.3%rank 317	24.9%rank 132	25.2%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Wins against the pre-game chances: 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
Opponents' three-point shooting: −2.8 points a game (they shot 36.0%, league 32.3%)
Opponents' free throws: +4.7 points a game
Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: +1.3
Last season's net rating: +0.4
Last season's minutes returning: 49%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: −1.5
Change since preseason: −1.6

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 103.7 (rank 161)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 103.9 (rank 116)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 70.5 (rank 286)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: +30.6 (rank 3)

Atlantic 10 Conference by rating

14 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Saint Louis	1-0	0-0	+14.2	114.7	100.5	56
2	VCU	1-0	0-0	+12.8	113.1	100.3	60
3	George Mason	1-0	0-0	+7.4	107.0	99.6	90
4	George Washington	1-0	0-0	+7.2	106.0	98.8	92
5	Rhode Island	1-0	0-0	+6.8	108.5	101.7	94
6	Dayton	1-0	0-0	+6.4	109.1	102.7	96
7	Davidson	1-0	0-0	+5.0	107.0	102.0	105
8	Duquesne	1-0	0-0	+2.8	105.4	102.6	116
9	Saint Joseph's	1-0	0-0	+1.4	104.6	103.2	122
10	Fordham	0-1	0-0	−0.2	103.7	103.9	128
11	Richmond	1-0	0-0	−1.1	105.7	106.8	136
12	Loyola Chicago	1-0	0-0	−1.7	103.6	105.3	142
13	St. Bonaventure	0-1	0-0	−5.0	102.4	107.4	185
14	La Salle	0-1	0-0	−6.1	100.9	107.0	199