Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
Next: vs City College NY · Sat 7 Nov, 12 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament8%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.5
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 14-20
Net rating−18.8Rank 343 of 365 · offence 299, defence 355
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 14-20 (9 to 19 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 8-8
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 9%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 8%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.5
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field8%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Illinoisrank 5 | Away | 0% | 48-85 | L 45-120 | Right |
| Wed 4 Nov | at Butlerrank 84 | Away | 2% | 62-88 | L 65-99 | Right |
| Sat 7 Nov12 PM ET | vs City College NYnot Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov11:30 AM ET | at East Texas A&Mrank 205 | Away | 12% | 66-80 | — |
Rooting guide
- Wed 11 Nov: at East Texas A&MA win: 8% · a loss: 8%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis TorainF · transfer from Austin Peay | 2 | 29.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | −3.7 | −0.9 |
| David JevticG | 2 | 27.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −4.6 | −1.2 |
| JR JacobsG | 2 | 26.5 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −3.0 | −0.4 |
| Pavle StosicF · transfer from Pepperdine | 2 | 22.0 | 11.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | −3.4 | −0.5 |
| Raysean JohnsonG | 2 | 21.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | −5.2 | −1.2 |
| Vophcy PropheteG | 2 | 19.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | −2.8 | −0.2 |
| Ras Elijah GodboltG | 2 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | −6.4 | −1.4 |
| Bol AguF · transfer from Saint Peter's | 2 | 12.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | −2.7 | −0.1 |
| Austin RatliffF | 2 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Diing MaiwenG | 2 | 8.0 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Devin WrightG | 2 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 48.9%rank 324 | 54.3%rank 363 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 16.5%rank 2 | 17.3%rank 350 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 27.3%rank 365 | 36.3%rank 364 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 23.1%rank 325 | 19.4%rank 1 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −12.9 points a game (they shot 41.5%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +3.0 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −16.8
- Last season's net rating
- −17.9
- Last season's minutes returning
- 25%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −1.0
- Change since preseason
- −2.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 97.2 (rank 299)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 116.0 (rank 355)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 70.0 (rank 330)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +19.2 (rank 31)
Northeast Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Connecticut | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.4 | 95.8 | 109.2 | 296 |
| 2 | Long Island University | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.2 | 94.5 | 108.7 | 307 |
| 3 | New Haven | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.0 | 95.4 | 110.3 | 312 |
| 4 | Mercyhurst | 0-1 | 0-0 | −17.6 | 95.1 | 112.7 | 335 |
| 5 | Wagner | 0-1 | 0-0 | −18.8 | 93.1 | 111.9 | 342 |
| 6 | Fairleigh Dickinson | 0-2 | 0-0 | −18.8 | 97.2 | 116.0 | 343 |
| 7 | Stonehill | 1-0 | 0-0 | −19.8 | 92.9 | 112.7 | 347 |
| 8 | Le Moyne | 0-1 | 0-0 | −20.7 | 95.3 | 116.0 | 352 |
| 9 | Chicago State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −26.3 | 92.2 | 118.5 | 364 |