Wagner Seahawks
Makes the tournament8%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.3
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 12-18
Net rating−18.8Rank 342 of 365 · offence 350, defence 313
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 12-18 (8 to 17 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 8-8
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 9%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 8%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.3
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field8%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | at Boston Collegerank 109 | Away | 5% | 61-82 | L 50-76 | Right |
| Fri 6 Nov9 PM ET | at Miamirank 31 | Away | 0% | 55-90 | — | |
| Mon 9 Nov7 PM ET | at UConnrank 12 | Away | 0% | 51-88 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov7 PM ET | vs Bryant & Stratton-Albanynot Division I | Home | — | — | — |
Rooting guide
- No games this week
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam EstevezG · transfer from Fairfield | 1 | 34.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −4.8 | −1.6 |
| Taj BryantG · transfer from Sacred Heart | 1 | 29.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | −4.7 | −1.4 |
| Kareem WatsonF · transfer from Delaware St | 1 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −5.7 | −1.5 |
| AJ RodriguezF | 1 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −2.8 | −0.3 |
| Youssouf SingarC · transfer from High Point | 1 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −2.6 | −0.2 |
| Tajae JonesF · transfer from Siena | 1 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | −3.8 | −0.6 |
| Ryan PettisG · transfer from Fordham | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Freddy HassanF | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Jaren CurtisG | 1 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −2.4 | 0.0 |
| William Patterson Jr.C · transfer from LSU N Orleans | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −3.7 | −0.1 |
| Gavin EdwardsG | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Baron Smith Jr.C · transfer from Oral Roberts | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −4.3 | −0.1 |
| Laymen McGradyG | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 48.4%rank 343 | 50.5%rank 233 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.4%rank 131 | 18.7%rank 121 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 32.2%rank 97 | 30.3%rank 43 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.4%rank 116 | 26.5%rank 298 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.1 expected (−0.1)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −4.5 points a game (they shot 41.2%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −1.8 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −17.9
- Last season's net rating
- −12.2
- Last season's minutes returning
- 0%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −1.6
- Change since preseason
- −0.9
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 93.1 (rank 350)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 111.9 (rank 313)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 70.1 (rank 317)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +3.9 (rank 103)
Northeast Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Connecticut | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.4 | 95.8 | 109.2 | 296 |
| 2 | Long Island University | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.2 | 94.5 | 108.7 | 307 |
| 3 | New Haven | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.0 | 95.4 | 110.3 | 312 |
| 4 | Mercyhurst | 0-1 | 0-0 | −17.6 | 95.1 | 112.7 | 335 |
| 5 | Wagner | 0-1 | 0-0 | −18.8 | 93.1 | 111.9 | 342 |
| 6 | Fairleigh Dickinson | 0-2 | 0-0 | −18.8 | 97.2 | 116.0 | 343 |
| 7 | Stonehill | 1-0 | 0-0 | −19.8 | 92.9 | 112.7 | 347 |
| 8 | Le Moyne | 0-1 | 0-0 | −20.7 | 95.3 | 116.0 | 352 |
| 9 | Chicago State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −26.3 | 92.2 | 118.5 | 364 |