Le Moyne Dolphins
Makes the tournament5%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.7
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 13-21
Net rating−20.8Rank 352 of 365 · offence 330, defence 355
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 13-21 (8 to 18 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 7-9
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 5%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 5%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.7
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field5%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
Rooting guide
- No games this week
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden TeatG · transfer from Sacramento St | 1 | 30.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | −4.7 | −1.4 |
| Trevor RoeF | 1 | 29.0 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | −4.5 | −1.2 |
| Damien KingG · transfer from UT Martin | 1 | 28.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Kaden StuckeyF · transfer from VMI | 1 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −7.0 | −2.2 |
| Leandro GyselG | 1 | 23.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | −3.2 | −0.5 |
| Ty FrancisF · transfer from Northeastern | 1 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | −3.5 | −0.5 |
| Connor JohnsonF | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.9 | −0.2 |
| Isaiah BrownG | 1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.8 | −0.1 |
| Jeremy ClayvilleG · transfer from NJIT | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −5.6 | −0.6 |
| Khalil WilliamsG · transfer from Bryant | 1 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −7.2 | −0.4 |
| Przemek HartmanC · transfer from UL Monroe | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −7.1 | −0.4 |
| Hunter FrazierF | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.6 | 0.0 |
| Cullen SchreinerF | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.6 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.6%rank 112 | 51.9%rank 329 | 50.1% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.9%rank 275 | 17.6%rank 323 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 30.3%rank 313 | 31.7%rank 169 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 24.8%rank 257 | 26.5%rank 278 | 25.6% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −13.3 points a game (they shot 46.7%, league 31.9%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −2.7 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −20.7
- Last season's net rating
- −11.5
- Last season's minutes returning
- 4%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −6.0
- Change since preseason
- −0.1
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 95.1 (rank 330)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 115.9 (rank 355)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.2 (rank 62)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +23.8 (rank 9)
Northeast Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Long Island University | 0-2 | 0-0 | −11.5 | 95.2 | 106.7 | 278 |
| 2 | New Haven | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.3 | 95.3 | 109.6 | 307 |
| 3 | Mercyhurst | 0-2 | 0-0 | −17.2 | 95.3 | 112.5 | 331 |
| 4 | Central Connecticut | 0-2 | 0-0 | −17.9 | 94.8 | 112.7 | 335 |
| 5 | Wagner | 0-1 | 0-0 | −18.9 | 92.9 | 111.8 | 343 |
| 6 | Fairleigh Dickinson | 0-2 | 0-0 | −18.9 | 97.0 | 115.9 | 344 |
| 7 | Stonehill | 1-1 | 0-0 | −19.9 | 93.7 | 113.6 | 348 |
| 8 | Le Moyne | 0-1 | 0-0 | −20.8 | 95.1 | 115.9 | 352 |
| 9 | Chicago State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −21.7 | 91.5 | 113.3 | 353 |