North Carolina Central Eagles
Makes the tournament5%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.5
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 12-20
Net rating−20.2Rank 350 of 365 · offence 351, defence 329
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 12-20 (8 to 16 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 6-8
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 4%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 5%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.5
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field5%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
Rooting guide
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey BrownG · transfer from MD Eastern | 1 | 34.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | −5.5 | −2.0 |
| Cristian SanonG | 1 | 34.0 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | −3.1 | −0.6 |
| Tyler MasonF · transfer from Alabama St | 1 | 22.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −5.1 | −1.2 |
| Darius KaneG | 1 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | −2.8 | −0.3 |
| Maurice VasselF · transfer from MD Eastern | 1 | 18.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −5.7 | −1.2 |
| Isaiah BuckleyG | 1 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.7 | −0.2 |
| Duor DuorF | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.7 | −0.2 |
| Jozohn PriceF | 1 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.6 | −0.1 |
| Ryan ArcheyG | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −6.4 | −0.8 |
| Christian MeeksF · transfer from Morgan St | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −5.4 | −0.4 |
| Chandler ThomasG | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.4 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 49.8%rank 248 | 49.2%rank 78 | 50.1% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 19.4%rank 317 | 18.3%rank 236 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 32.2%rank 109 | 30.7%rank 77 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 24.2%rank 285 | 26.5%rank 276 | 25.6% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +6.8 points a game (they shot 23.1%, league 31.9%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +0.7 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −23.0
- Last season's net rating
- −20.9
- Last season's minutes returning
- 3%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −5.5
- Change since preseason
- +2.8
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 92.6 (rank 351)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 112.9 (rank 329)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 70.5 (rank 261)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +16.9 (rank 30)
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Howard | 1-1 | 0-0 | −6.3 | 103.9 | 110.1 | 203 |
| 2 | Norfolk State | 2-0 | 0-0 | −16.2 | 96.0 | 112.2 | 327 |
| 3 | Maryland Eastern Shore | 0-2 | 0-0 | −18.4 | 91.3 | 109.8 | 340 |
| 4 | South Carolina State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −18.5 | 94.0 | 112.6 | 342 |
| 5 | Delaware State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −18.9 | 91.1 | 110.1 | 345 |
| 6 | North Carolina Central | 0-1 | 0-0 | −20.2 | 92.6 | 112.9 | 350 |
| 7 | Morgan State | 2-0 | 0-0 | −22.6 | 93.5 | 116.1 | 360 |
| 8 | Coppin State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −23.2 | 89.9 | 113.1 | 362 |