High Point Panthers
Next: vs Washington St · Sat 7 Nov, 5 PM ETProjected 81-67 · Game page
Makes the tournament70%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 12.5
Wins the national title0%Final Four <1% · projected 30-5
Net rating+8.0Rank 87 of 365 · offence 102, defence 59
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 30-5 (26 to 33 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 14-2
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 91%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 68%
- Average seed if in the field
- 12.5
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field70%
- Round of 3210%
- Sweet 162%
- Elite Eight<1%
- Final Four<1%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 1 Nov | vs Libertyrank 143 | Neutral | 72% | 79-72 | W 72-57 | Right |
| Wed 4 Nov | vs Maryland Eastern Shorerank 337 | Home | 99% | 88-60 | W 63-49 | Right |
| Sat 7 Nov5 PM ET | vs Washington Staterank 173 | Home | 88% | 81-67 | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov7 PM ET | vs Southern Utahrank 224 | Home | 92% | 84-67 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: vs Washington StateA win: 70% · a loss: 70%0 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: vs Southern UtahA win: 70% · a loss: 68%+1 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam'Ron FletcherF | 1 | 25.0 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | +4.3 | +2.9 |
| CJ BrownG · transfer from South Florida | 1 | 25.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | +2.0 | +1.9 |
| Curtis Williams Jr.G · transfer from Tulane | 1 | 24.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −0.4 | +0.7 |
| Braden HausenF | 1 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | +0.6 | +1.1 |
| Isaac GarrettF · transfer from Oakland | 1 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | +1.5 | +1.4 |
| Jason Rivera-TorresG · transfer from Monmouth | 1 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | +3.1 | +1.6 |
| Conrad MartinezG | 1 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +2.0 | +1.2 |
| Frankquon ShermanF · transfer from Kennesaw St | 1 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | +2.2 | +1.0 |
| Trey PearsonG | 1 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.3 | +0.2 |
| Filip BrankovicF · transfer from UT Rio Grande | 1 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | +2.6 | +1.1 |
| Caden MillerF | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | +0.8 | +0.3 |
| Jared GreyF | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.1 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.1%rank 237 | 47.4%rank 4 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 19.8%rank 343 | 18.4%rank 237 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 29.9%rank 337 | 29.3%rank 10 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.7%rank 98 | 25.2%rank 233 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 2.0 won, 1.7 expected (+0.3)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +6.3 points a game (they shot 23.4%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −0.5 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- +9.3
- Last season's net rating
- +11.0
- Last season's minutes returning
- 32%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +3.7
- Change since preseason
- −1.2
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 107.3 (rank 102)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 99.2 (rank 59)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.2 (rank 85)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −9.9 (rank 203)
Big South Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | High Point | 2-0 | 0-0 | +8.0 | 107.3 | 99.2 | 87 |
| 2 | Presbyterian | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.3 | 103.3 | 109.6 | 203 |
| 3 | Radford | 0-2 | 0-0 | −7.3 | 100.8 | 108.2 | 221 |
| 4 | Longwood | 1-1 | 0-0 | −7.5 | 100.8 | 108.3 | 225 |
| 5 | Winthrop | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.8 | 102.6 | 111.4 | 242 |
| 6 | UNC Asheville | 1-1 | 0-0 | −9.7 | 101.0 | 110.7 | 256 |
| 7 | Charleston Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.6 | 99.9 | 110.5 | 259 |
| 8 | South Carolina Upstate | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.3 | 96.9 | 111.2 | 308 |
| 9 | Gardner-Webb | 0-1 | 0-0 | −19.7 | 92.4 | 112.0 | 346 |