Charleston Southern Buccaneers
Next: vs Columbia International · Thu 5 Nov, 7 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament3%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.0
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 16-18
Net rating−10.6Rank 259 of 365 · offence 251, defence 283
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 16-18 (11 to 22 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 7-9
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 3%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.0
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field3%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at South Floridarank 100 | Away | 10% | 64-80 | L 71-98 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov7 PM ET | vs Columbia Internationalnot Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov7 PM ET | at Wake Forestrank 90 | Away | 5% | 68-87 | — |
Rooting guide
- Tue 10 Nov: at Wake ForestA win: <1% · a loss: 1%−1 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony RuffoloG | 1 | 32.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | −2.0 | +0.1 |
| Jackson CrawfordG | 1 | 31.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | −1.9 | +0.1 |
| DJ HubbardG | 1 | 27.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.8 | +0.1 |
| Nicholas ErricaG · transfer from W Michigan | 1 | 23.0 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | −3.6 | −0.7 |
| Lase OlalereF | 1 | 22.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | −1.3 | +0.3 |
| Jacob TaylorG | 1 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | −3.2 | −0.5 |
| Jefferson McLambG | 1 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −1.6 | +0.2 |
| Mathok MajokF · transfer from LSU N Orleans | 1 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −0.2 | +0.3 |
| Tito DengF · transfer from Jacksonville | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −3.7 | −0.2 |
| Alex HarperG | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −1.2 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.0%rank 244 | 50.5%rank 237 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.5%rank 142 | 17.6%rank 333 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 32.6%rank 75 | 31.5%rank 139 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.1%rank 216 | 22.9%rank 29 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.1 expected (−0.1)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −7.6 points a game (they shot 45.0%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −0.6 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −9.6
- Last season's net rating
- −5.9
- Last season's minutes returning
- 19%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- 0.0
- Change since preseason
- −1.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 99.9 (rank 251)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 110.5 (rank 283)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 73.6 (rank 10)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +5.6 (rank 98)
Big South Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | High Point | 2-0 | 0-0 | +8.0 | 107.3 | 99.2 | 87 |
| 2 | Presbyterian | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.3 | 103.3 | 109.6 | 203 |
| 3 | Radford | 0-2 | 0-0 | −7.3 | 100.8 | 108.2 | 221 |
| 4 | Longwood | 1-1 | 0-0 | −7.5 | 100.8 | 108.3 | 225 |
| 5 | Winthrop | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.8 | 102.6 | 111.4 | 242 |
| 6 | UNC Asheville | 1-1 | 0-0 | −9.7 | 101.0 | 110.7 | 256 |
| 7 | Charleston Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.6 | 99.9 | 110.5 | 259 |
| 8 | South Carolina Upstate | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.3 | 96.9 | 111.2 | 308 |
| 9 | Gardner-Webb | 0-1 | 0-0 | −19.7 | 92.4 | 112.0 | 346 |