Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 8-24
Net rating−19.7Rank 346 of 365 · offence 355, defence 314
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 8-24 (5 to 12 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 3-13
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- <1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at UConnrank 12 | Away | 0% | 50-85 | L 46-86 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov8 PM ET | at Texasrank 25 | Away | 0% | 58-94 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov8 PM ET | vs Erskinenot Division I | Home | — | — | — |
Rooting guide
- No games this week
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rue WellsG | 1 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | −3.2 | −0.6 |
| Seth BrownG | 1 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.2 | −0.5 |
| Jacob HudsonG | 1 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −4.1 | −0.9 |
| Sam NosakhareC · transfer from Quinnipiac | 1 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | −3.9 | −0.8 |
| Mikhali PocknettF · transfer from Buffalo | 1 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −2.9 | −0.3 |
| Jackson SkipperF · transfer from Vermont | 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −4.6 | −0.9 |
| Jamias FerereG | 1 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −6.1 | −1.3 |
| Ace TalbertG | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −6.6 | −1.1 |
| Ginuwine TropnasC | 1 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.9 | −0.2 |
| DJ DanielG | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.8 | −0.1 |
| David GaymonG | 1 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.6 | 0.0 |
| Brave RutsinduraC | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.6 | 0.0 |
| Bryson LutherG | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.6 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 48.5%rank 341 | 51.0%rank 273 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 19.0%rank 274 | 18.2%rank 265 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 28.4%rank 363 | 30.4%rank 55 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 26.9%rank 50 | 24.6%rank 112 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +1.1 points a game (they shot 31.0%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +1.5 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −18.1
- Last season's net rating
- −27.5
- Last season's minutes returning
- 32%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.4
- Change since preseason
- −1.6
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 92.4 (rank 355)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 112.0 (rank 314)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.4 (rank 62)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +24.4 (rank 11)
Big South Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | High Point | 2-0 | 0-0 | +8.0 | 107.3 | 99.2 | 87 |
| 2 | Presbyterian | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.3 | 103.3 | 109.6 | 203 |
| 3 | Radford | 0-2 | 0-0 | −7.3 | 100.8 | 108.2 | 221 |
| 4 | Longwood | 1-1 | 0-0 | −7.5 | 100.8 | 108.3 | 225 |
| 5 | Winthrop | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.8 | 102.6 | 111.4 | 242 |
| 6 | UNC Asheville | 1-1 | 0-0 | −9.7 | 101.0 | 110.7 | 256 |
| 7 | Charleston Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.6 | 99.9 | 110.5 | 259 |
| 8 | South Carolina Upstate | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.3 | 96.9 | 111.2 | 308 |
| 9 | Gardner-Webb | 0-1 | 0-0 | −19.7 | 92.4 | 112.0 | 346 |