Radford Highlanders
Makes the tournament6%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.7
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 16-18
Net rating−7.3Rank 222 of 365 · offence 226, defence 212
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 16-18 (11 to 21 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 9-7
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 4%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 6%
- Average seed if in the field
- 14.7
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field6%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at San Franciscorank 117 | Away | 18% | 63-75 | L 62-76 | Right |
| Wed 4 Nov | at Californiarank 106 | Away | 5% | 66-87 | L 70-84 | Right |
| Mon 9 Nov7 PM ET | at Tennesseerank 7 | Away | 0% | 59-91 | — |
Rooting guide
- No games this week
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Corey RobinsonG · transfer from Austin Peay | 2 | 30.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | −0.5 | +0.9 |
| Frederik ErichsenF | 2 | 29.0 | 14.0 | 7.5 | 0.5 | −2.2 | −0.1 |
| Tristan GrossG · transfer from Mercer | 2 | 28.0 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Mathieu GrujicicG · transfer from Ohio State | 2 | 24.0 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | +0.2 | +1.0 |
| Zion WalkerG | 2 | 22.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | −1.9 | +0.1 |
| Gabriel FerreiraC | 2 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.5 | −0.1 |
| Warren Keel Jr.G | 2 | 19.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 3.5 | −3.3 | −0.4 |
| Parby KabambaF · transfer from Marist | 2 | 12.0 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | −0.7 | +0.3 |
| Cameron JacksonF · transfer from UT Arlington | 2 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | −0.1 | +0.3 |
| Jordyn KeeG · transfer from Miami | 2 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | +0.1 | +0.2 |
| Kye DavisG | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.8 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 51.3%rank 74 | 50.6%rank 245 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 19.1%rank 292 | 18.6%rank 124 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 32.1%rank 109 | 30.7%rank 69 | 31.8% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 24.1%rank 291 | 24.5%rank 97 | 25.3% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.2 expected (−0.2)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −6.5 points a game (they shot 39.3%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +1.9 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −9.0
- Last season's net rating
- −7.3
- Last season's minutes returning
- 9%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.2
- Change since preseason
- +1.6
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 100.9 (rank 226)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 108.2 (rank 212)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.5 (rank 53)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +3.5 (rank 107)
Big South Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | High Point | 2-0 | 0-0 | +8.0 | 107.3 | 99.3 | 85 |
| 2 | Presbyterian | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.3 | 103.4 | 109.7 | 204 |
| 3 | Radford | 0-2 | 0-0 | −7.3 | 100.9 | 108.2 | 222 |
| 4 | Longwood | 1-1 | 0-0 | −7.5 | 100.9 | 108.4 | 226 |
| 5 | Winthrop | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.8 | 102.7 | 111.5 | 242 |
| 6 | UNC Asheville | 1-1 | 0-0 | −9.7 | 101.1 | 110.8 | 256 |
| 7 | Charleston Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.6 | 100.0 | 110.5 | 259 |
| 8 | South Carolina Upstate | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.3 | 97.0 | 111.2 | 308 |
| 9 | Gardner-Webb | 0-1 | 0-0 | −19.7 | 92.5 | 112.1 | 346 |