Washington State Cougars
Next: at High Point · Sat 7 Nov, 5 PM ETProjected 67-81 · Game page
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 10-24
Net rating−4.2Rank 173 of 365 · offence 186, defence 170
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 10-24 (5 to 14 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 4-12
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- <1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Davidsonrank 104 | Home | 43% | 66-68 | L 61-76 | Right |
| Sat 7 Nov5 PM ET | at High Pointrank 87 | Away | 12% | 67-81 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov7 PM ET | at Duquesnerank 116 | Away | 20% | 69-79 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: at High PointA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
- Tue 10 Nov: at DuquesneA win: <1% · a loss: 0%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamari PhillipsG · transfer from Oregon | 1 | 26.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Jaylen HarrellG · transfer from Providence | 1 | 26.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −0.2 | +0.9 |
| Casey JonesG | 1 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.6 | +0.2 |
| Dominik RobinsonF | 1 | 23.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | −1.6 | +0.2 |
| Ladji DembeleF · transfer from UNLV | 1 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −1.3 | +0.3 |
| Sebastian AkinsG · transfer from Wake Forest | 1 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | +0.9 | +1.2 |
| Lazerek HoustonG | 1 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −1.5 | +0.2 |
| Tyler KroppF · transfer from Northwestern | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | +0.9 | +0.9 |
| RJ JonesG · transfer from TCU | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | +0.4 | +0.7 |
| Fraser RoxburghF · transfer from Manhattan | 1 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −3.0 | −0.1 |
| Mohamed SankheF | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −1.1 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 47.4%rank 363 | 53.6%rank 361 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.2%rank 96 | 18.6%rank 211 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 31.2%rank 253 | 31.3%rank 122 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 22.1%rank 354 | 23.6%rank 57 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.4 expected (−0.4)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −13.7 points a game (they shot 52.2%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +2.3 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −3.7
- Last season's net rating
- +2.4
- Last season's minutes returning
- 0%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −2.3
- Change since preseason
- −0.5
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 102.4 (rank 186)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 106.7 (rank 170)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.6 (rank 155)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +5.0 (rank 101)
Pac-12 Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gonzaga | 1-0 | 0-0 | +20.5 | 115.6 | 95.1 | 27 |
| 2 | Utah State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +15.1 | 114.8 | 99.7 | 51 |
| 3 | Colorado State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +11.0 | 112.3 | 101.4 | 69 |
| 4 | Boise State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +10.4 | 110.9 | 100.4 | 74 |
| 5 | San Diego State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +9.0 | 110.2 | 101.2 | 83 |
| 6 | Oregon State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +6.7 | 108.9 | 102.2 | 96 |
| 7 | Texas State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.9 | 103.3 | 106.2 | 154 |
| 8 | Fresno State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −3.3 | 102.3 | 105.5 | 161 |
| 9 | Washington State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −4.2 | 102.4 | 106.7 | 173 |