Eastern Illinois Panthers
Makes the tournament6%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.2
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 15-19
Net rating−16.1Rank 326 of 365 · offence 337, defence 292
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 15-19 (10 to 20 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 7-9
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 5%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 6%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.2
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field6%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Indianarank 41 | Away | 2% | 52-79 | L 57-91 | Right |
| Fri 6 Nov8:30 PM ET | at Iowarank 21 | Away | 0% | 55-87 | — | |
| Mon 9 Nov7 PM ET | at Notre Damerank 63 | Away | 1% | 59-85 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov8 PM ET | vs Blackburnnot Division I | Home | — | — | — |
Rooting guide
- Mon 9 Nov: at Notre DameA win: 9% · a loss: 6%+4 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin DavenportG | 1 | 25.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.9 | −0.3 |
| Jaden MillerG | 1 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −2.8 | −0.3 |
| Daniel NtambweF | 1 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −2.7 | −0.2 |
| Tanner VogelC | 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | −2.6 | −0.2 |
| Andrew AustinF | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −5.9 | −1.3 |
| Demar BurtonF | 1 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.7 | −0.2 |
| Jayden WrightG | 1 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | −2.7 | −0.2 |
| Shia FrancisG | 1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | −2.5 | −0.1 |
| Gavin WelchF | 1 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.5 | −0.1 |
| Markus BlackwellG | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −5.2 | −0.6 |
| JT ElderG | 1 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −5.0 | −0.5 |
| Jalen CallowayG | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Ethan HillsmanF | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 51.1%rank 74 | 50.6%rank 255 | 50.1% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 20.4%rank 356 | 18.4%rank 223 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 30.5%rank 300 | 31.8%rank 242 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 23.3%rank 329 | 27.8%rank 324 | 25.6% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −4.1 points a game (they shot 37.5%, league 31.9%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −1.9 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −14.9
- Last season's net rating
- −14.9
- Last season's minutes returning
- 10%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- 0.0
- Change since preseason
- −1.2
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 94.7 (rank 337)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 110.8 (rank 292)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 70.5 (rank 261)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +16.2 (rank 33)
Ohio Valley Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southeast Missouri State | 2-0 | 0-0 | −7.8 | 99.5 | 107.3 | 229 |
| 2 | UT Martin | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.4 | 99.4 | 109.8 | 256 |
| 3 | SIU Edwardsville | 2-0 | 0-0 | −10.8 | 97.2 | 108.0 | 269 |
| 4 | Tennessee State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.0 | 96.2 | 109.2 | 291 |
| 5 | Morehead State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −14.0 | 98.4 | 112.4 | 302 |
| 6 | Lindenwood | 1-1 | 0-0 | −15.9 | 94.9 | 110.9 | 323 |
| 7 | Eastern Illinois | 0-1 | 0-0 | −16.1 | 94.7 | 110.8 | 326 |
| 8 | Southern Indiana | 1-1 | 0-0 | −17.3 | 92.0 | 109.3 | 332 |
| 9 | Western Illinois | 0-1 | 0-0 | −22.2 | 92.8 | 114.9 | 355 |