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Updated Thu 5 Nov, 8:20 PM ET

Scores, schedules and lines from ESPN; past seasons from sportsdataverse. Not affiliated with any team, league or bookmaker.

Lindenwood Lions

Men's · Ohio Valley Conference · 0-1, 0-0 in conference · last L1

Makes the tournament6%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.3
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 14-18
Net rating−15.8Rank 326 of 365 · offence 332, defence 294

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons
Projected record
14-18 (10 to 19 wins)
Projected conference record
7-9
Wins or shares the conference title
5%
Wins the conference tournament
6%
Average seed if in the field
15.3
A 1 seed
0%
  1. Makes the field6%
  2. Round of 320%
  3. Sweet 160%
  4. Elite Eight0%
  5. Final Four0%
  6. Title game0%
  7. Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game
DateOpponentWhereWin chanceProjectedResultPick
Mon 2 Novat TCUrank 35Away1%54-84L 59-98Right
Thu 5 Nov7 PM ETvs Central Biblenot Division IHome——Live
Sat 7 Nov4:30 PM ETvs East Westnot Division IHome———
Wed 11 Nov9 PM ETat Nebraskarank 15Away0%58-94—

Rooting guide

Chance of making the NCAA tournament now: 6% · the next 7 days
  1. No games this week

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement
PlayerGamesMinutesPointsReboundsAssistsRatingValue
Xavier SpencerG · transfer from UMass Lowell130.04.01.02.0−3.7−0.9
Malek ArchieG · transfer from Tarleton St127.018.08.04.0−2.8−0.4
Noah TaitzG · transfer from Utah Valley125.012.03.01.0−2.8−0.3
Dom ClayG123.03.03.00.0−3.1−0.4
Marsai MasonF123.010.07.00.0−3.0−0.4
Matar DiopF · transfer from Stetson120.02.05.00.0−4.6−0.9
Derek RollinsF117.03.02.01.0−2.9−0.2
Shamiere GreenG113.06.02.01.0−2.8−0.2
Parker SeithelC112.00.03.01.0−2.7−0.1
Marko LukanoskiC18.00.00.00.0−2.6−0.1
RJ ChastangG11.01.00.00.0−2.40.0
Miles ElliottG11.00.00.00.0−2.40.0

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

OffenceDefenceLeague
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin50.2%rank 23050.3%rank 14450.4%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin19.5%rank 33018.8%rank 11118.5%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin33.3%rank 4133.6%rank 33231.8%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin23.2%rank 32127.8%rank 34225.1%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Wins against the pre-game chances
0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
Opponents' three-point shooting
−11.6 points a game (they shot 52.6%, league 32.3%)
Opponents' free throws
−1.8 points a game
Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team
−20−15−10−50+51 NovNow−15.8−20−15−10−50+51 NovNow−15.8
Preseason net rating
−15.3
Last season's net rating
−8.2
Last season's minutes returning
0%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes
−2.5
Change since preseason
−0.5
Offence, points per 100 possessions
95.2 (rank 332)
Defence, points allowed per 100
111.0 (rank 294)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
73.6 (rank 9)
Schedule so far, opponents' average
+17.3 (rank 34)

Ohio Valley Conference by rating

9 teams
#TeamRecordConferenceNetOffenceDefenceNational rank
1Southeast Missouri State2-00-0−7.999.7107.5231
2UT Martin0-10-0−9.6100.1109.7255
3SIU Edwardsville2-00-0−10.897.4108.2269
4Tennessee State0-10-0−13.096.4109.4292
5Morehead State1-10-0−13.998.6112.5302
6Lindenwood0-10-0−15.895.2111.0326
7Eastern Illinois0-10-0−16.094.9111.0329
8Southern Indiana1-10-0−17.292.2109.5332
9Western Illinois0-10-0−22.193.0115.0356