SIU Edwardsville Cougars

Men's · Ohio Valley Conference · 2-0, 0-0 in conference · last W2

Next: at Lipscomb · Sat 7 Nov, 5 PM ET

SIUE20%80%Lipscomb

Projected 67-77 · Game page

Makes the tournament17%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.6

Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 19-14

Net rating−10.8Rank 269 of 365 · offence 296, defence 211

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 19-14 (13 to 25 wins)
Projected conference record: 10-6
Wins or shares the conference title: 22%
Wins the conference tournament: 17%
Average seed if in the field: 14.6
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field17%
Round of 32<1%
Sweet 160%
Elite Eight0%
Final Four0%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result
Mon 2 Nov	vs Eurekanot Division I	Home	—	—	W 91-39
Wed 4 Nov	vs Concordia Chicagonot Division I	Home	—	—	W 85-61
Sat 7 Nov5 PM ET	at Lipscombrank 159	Away	20%	67-77	—
Mon 9 Nov8 PM ET	at Missourirank 30	Away	1%	59-88	—

Rooting guide

Chance of making the NCAA tournament now: 17% · the next 7 days

Sat 7 Nov: at LipscombA win: 18% · a loss: 17%+1 pts
Mon 9 Nov: at MissouriA win: 16% · a loss: 17%−1 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Jordan PickettG	2	26.5	14.5	3.5	2.0	−2.9	−0.4
Dehrio McCaskillG	2	25.5	7.0	5.0	3.5	−1.9	+0.1
Gianni CobbG · transfer from N Illinois	2	24.0	10.0	2.0	3.5	−2.5	−0.2
Brennan MillerF	2	23.0	12.5	7.5	1.0	−1.6	+0.2
David WilsonF	2	21.0	9.0	6.0	1.0	−1.6	+0.2
Jayden RileyG	2	15.5	4.5	2.5	5.0	−1.5	+0.1
Corentin EfonoG	2	15.0	5.0	1.0	0.0	−3.4	−0.3
Darrion BakerF	2	11.5	5.5	1.5	1.0	−1.5	+0.1
Gestin LiberisF	2	11.0	3.5	3.5	0.5	−3.8	−0.3
Harrison AlexanderG	2	9.5	7.5	1.5	0.0	−1.9	0.0
Belal SohaibF	2	8.5	5.5	4.0	0.0	−1.2	+0.1
Iwo BagancF	2	6.5	1.5	0.5	0.0	−2.0	0.0
Kain McCaskillG	2	2.5	2.0	0.0	2.0	−0.9	+0.1

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	50.4%rank 135	50.4%rank 153	50.4%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin	18.6%rank 155	18.6%rank 133	18.6%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin	31.7%rank 127	31.7%rank 162	31.7%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin	25.2%rank 133	25.2%rank 152	25.2%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

2 games played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: −10.8
Last season's net rating: −7.6
Last season's minutes returning: 35%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: −5.3
Change since preseason: 0.0

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 97.3 (rank 296)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 108.2 (rank 211)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 70.3 (rank 306)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: —

Ohio Valley Conference by rating

9 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Southeast Missouri State	2-0	0-0	−7.9	99.6	107.5	231
2	UT Martin	0-1	0-0	−9.6	100.1	109.7	255
3	SIU Edwardsville	2-0	0-0	−10.8	97.3	108.2	269
4	Tennessee State	0-1	0-0	−13.0	96.4	109.3	292
5	Morehead State	1-1	0-0	−13.9	98.6	112.5	302
6	Lindenwood	0-1	0-0	−15.8	95.1	110.9	326
7	Eastern Illinois	0-1	0-0	−15.9	95.2	111.2	328
8	Southern Indiana	1-1	0-0	−17.2	92.2	109.4	332
9	Western Illinois	0-1	0-0	−22.1	92.9	115.0	356