Cornell Big Red
Makes the tournament7%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 13.6
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 16-15
Net rating−4.3Rank 177 of 365 · offence 107, defence 300
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 16-15 (11 to 21 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 6-8
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 6%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 7%
- Average seed if in the field
- 13.6
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field7%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Pepperdinerank 158 | Home | 78% | 78-68 | W 86-85 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov7 PM ET | at Lehighrank 234 | Away | 46% | 79-80 | — | |
| Sun 8 Nov2 PM ET | vs Keukanot Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov7 PM ET | at St. Bonaventurerank 183 | Away | 37% | 77-81 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 5 Nov: at LehighA win: 7% · a loss: 7%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: at St. BonaventureA win: 7% · a loss: 7%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob BecclesG | 1 | 28.0 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | −0.3 | +0.9 |
| Anthony NimaniG | 1 | 28.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | −1.2 | +0.4 |
| Kaspar SeppF | 1 | 25.0 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | −0.6 | +0.7 |
| Mateen RafiqG | 1 | 23.0 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −0.4 | +0.7 |
| Quinn GibsonF | 1 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | −1.4 | +0.2 |
| Mikehi WilliamsF | 1 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −1.4 | +0.2 |
| Ian ImegwuF | 1 | 13.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.2 | +0.5 |
| Ryan BurbachG | 1 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
| Luke KennevanG | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.2 | +0.2 |
| Gioacchino PanziniF | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −0.2 | +0.3 |
| Sage MateoG | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.0 | +0.1 |
| JJ SanchezG | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.9 | 0.0 |
| Blake LecklitnerF | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −0.9 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 51.6%rank 59 | 51.2%rank 290 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 19.5%rank 329 | 17.9%rank 311 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 31.1%rank 260 | 34.1%rank 347 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 21.8%rank 361 | 26.4%rank 296 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 1.0 won, 0.8 expected (+0.2)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +5.1 points a game (they shot 26.7%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +0.3 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- 1-0
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −0.3
- Last season's net rating
- +0.9
- Last season's minutes returning
- 43%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- 0.0
- Change since preseason
- −4.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 106.8 (rank 107)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 111.2 (rank 300)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.8 (rank 39)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −3.1 (rank 134)
Ivy League by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yale | 1-0 | 0-0 | +4.5 | 108.7 | 104.2 | 106 |
| 2 | Harvard | 1-0 | 0-0 | +1.4 | 104.9 | 103.5 | 121 |
| 3 | Pennsylvania | 0-0 | 0-0 | −0.6 | 104.9 | 105.4 | 131 |
| 4 | Princeton | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.2 | 104.3 | 105.5 | 138 |
| 5 | Cornell | 1-0 | 0-0 | −4.3 | 106.8 | 111.2 | 177 |
| 6 | Dartmouth | 2-0 | 0-0 | −4.4 | 100.4 | 104.8 | 178 |
| 7 | Columbia | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.4 | 103.8 | 110.2 | 205 |
| 8 | Brown | 0-1 | 0-0 | −9.1 | 96.0 | 105.2 | 246 |