Kansas State Wildcats
Next: vs CSU Northridge · Fri 6 Nov, 9 PM ETProjected 83-72 · Game page
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 10-20
Net rating+3.4Rank 113 of 365 · offence 135, defence 97
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 10-20 (7 to 13 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 2-16
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 0%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 0%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Chance of making the field, day by day
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | vs South Dakota Staterank 164 | Home | 85% | 83-70 | L 66-68 | Wrong |
| Fri 6 Nov9 PM ET | vs Cal State Northridgerank 192 | Home | 84% | 83-72 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov9 PM ET | vs Creightonrank 57 | Home | 35% | 73-77 | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: vs Cal State NorthridgeA win: 0% · a loss: 0%0 pts
- Tue 10 Nov: vs CreightonA win: 0% · a loss: 0%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden SchuttG · transfer from Virginia Tech | 1 | 35.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | +0.6 | +1.7 |
| Brandon RechsteinerG · transfer from Colorado St | 1 | 34.0 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | +1.8 | +2.4 |
| Isaiah AbrahamF · transfer from Georgetown | 1 | 32.0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | +0.1 | +1.3 |
| Dez LindsayF · transfer from Oregon | 1 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | +0.8 | +1.1 |
| Pape N'DiayeF · transfer from Xavier | 1 | 18.0 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | +1.1 | +1.0 |
| Montana WheelerG · transfer from Bradley | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | +0.3 | +0.7 |
| Brock ViceF · transfer from Murray St | 1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | +0.8 | +0.8 |
| Jaylen AlexanderG | 1 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | −0.9 | +0.3 |
| Matt GilhoolF | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −0.8 | +0.2 |
| JT RockC · transfer from New Mexico | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | +5.3 | +0.4 |
| Andrej KosticG | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.8 | +0.2 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 49.3%rank 280 | 51.3%rank 301 | 50.2% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.8%rank 248 | 17.6%rank 323 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 30.2%rank 325 | 30.5%rank 66 | 31.8% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.4%rank 227 | 24.3%rank 76 | 25.7% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.8 expected (−0.8)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −7.0 points a game (they shot 41.7%, league 32.0%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +1.0 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- 0-1
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- +5.1
- Last season's net rating
- +7.5
- Last season's minutes returning
- 5%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +8.2
- Change since preseason
- −1.7
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 104.9 (rank 135)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 101.5 (rank 97)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 73.2 (rank 14)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −3.5 (rank 149)
Big 12 Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston | 1-0 | 0-0 | +30.7 | 120.0 | 89.3 | 4 |
| 2 | Kansas | 1-0 | 0-0 | +30.7 | 119.6 | 88.9 | 4 |
| 3 | Iowa State | 0-1 | 0-0 | +27.2 | 119.9 | 92.7 | 9 |
| 4 | Texas Tech | 2-0 | 0-0 | +24.7 | 115.4 | 90.8 | 11 |
| 5 | Arizona | 1-1 | 0-0 | +23.4 | 118.4 | 94.9 | 16 |
| 6 | Cincinnati | 2-0 | 0-0 | +23.2 | 114.6 | 91.4 | 17 |
| 7 | BYU | 1-0 | 0-0 | +20.8 | 120.1 | 99.2 | 25 |
| 8 | TCU | 1-0 | 0-0 | +17.4 | 112.8 | 95.4 | 35 |
| 9 | West Virginia | 1-0 | 0-0 | +16.9 | 109.7 | 92.8 | 37 |
| 10 | Baylor | 1-0 | 0-0 | +15.3 | 113.8 | 98.5 | 49 |
| 11 | Colorado | 1-0 | 0-0 | +14.8 | 114.3 | 99.4 | 51 |
| 12 | Oklahoma State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +14.6 | 112.6 | 98.0 | 53 |
| 13 | Arizona State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +12.5 | 112.6 | 100.0 | 65 |
| 14 | UCF | 1-0 | 0-0 | +10.9 | 114.3 | 103.4 | 73 |
| 15 | Utah | 2-0 | 0-0 | +7.1 | 106.6 | 99.5 | 91 |
| 16 | Kansas State | 0-1 | 0-0 | +3.4 | 104.9 | 101.5 | 113 |