Loyola Marymount Lions
Next: vs Lincoln (CA) · Fri 6 Nov, 10 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 13.5
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 14-19
Net rating−4.5Rank 181 of 365 · offence 154, defence 228
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 14-19 (9 to 20 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 7-10
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- 13.5
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 4 Nov | vs Queens Universityrank 152 | Home | 68% | 81-76 | L 95-96 | Wrong |
| Fri 6 Nov10 PM ET | vs Lincoln (CA)not Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov7 PM ET | at Troyrank 195 | Away | 39% | 72-75 | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov8 PM ET | vs South Alabamarank 209 | Neutral | 55% | 76-74 | — |
Rooting guide
- Tue 10 Nov: at TroyA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: vs South AlabamaA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All WrightG · transfer from Xavier | 1 | 37.0 | 22.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −1.7 | +0.3 |
| Mazi MosleyG · transfer from LSU | 1 | 34.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | −1.9 | +0.1 |
| Zion SensleyG · transfer from Santa Barbara | 1 | 33.0 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | +1.2 |
| Jevon PorterF · transfer from Missouri | 1 | 26.0 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | +0.7 | +1.3 |
| Aaron McBrideF | 1 | 26.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −0.8 | +0.6 |
| Andy SigiscarF · transfer from Tarleton St | 1 | 19.0 | 15.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | −0.1 | +0.7 |
| Jasai MilesG · transfer from Indiana | 1 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −0.8 | +0.2 |
| Zamir PaschalG | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −2.4 | 0.0 |
| Christian Humphrey-RembertF · transfer from Lafayette | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.3 | −0.2 |
| JJ HarrisF | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.8%rank 106 | 53.1%rank 355 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 19.1%rank 293 | 17.4%rank 344 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 33.2%rank 45 | 32.7%rank 291 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 26.4%rank 70 | 27.2%rank 321 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.7 expected (−0.7)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −6.4 points a game (they shot 50.0%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- 0.0 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- 0-1
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −2.6
- Last season's net rating
- 0.0
- Last season's minutes returning
- 20%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −1.3
- Change since preseason
- −2.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 104.0 (rank 154)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 108.6 (rank 228)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.4 (rank 181)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −2.6 (rank 131)
West Coast Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Mary's | 2-0 | 0-0 | +14.2 | 114.2 | 100.0 | 55 |
| 2 | Santa Clara | 2-0 | 0-0 | +12.3 | 113.2 | 100.8 | 64 |
| 3 | San Francisco | 1-0 | 0-0 | +2.5 | 105.7 | 103.2 | 117 |
| 4 | Seattle U | 0-1 | 0-0 | +2.5 | 102.7 | 100.2 | 118 |
| 5 | Pepperdine | 0-1 | 0-0 | −3.0 | 103.6 | 106.7 | 158 |
| 6 | Loyola Marymount | 0-1 | 0-0 | −4.5 | 104.0 | 108.6 | 181 |
| 7 | Pacific | 1-0 | 0-0 | −5.4 | 101.7 | 107.1 | 189 |
| 8 | Denver | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.9 | 102.7 | 109.5 | 214 |
| 9 | San Diego | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.2 | 101.3 | 108.5 | 219 |
| 10 | Portland | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.2 | 100.7 | 108.8 | 236 |