Denver Pioneers
Next: at UC Riverside · Sat 7 Nov, 7:30 PM ETProjected 75-78 · Game page
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 13-20
Net rating−6.9Rank 214 of 365 · offence 183, defence 255
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 13-20 (8 to 19 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 6-10
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Wisconsinrank 41 | Away | 1% | 57-86 | L 68-75 | Right |
| Sat 7 Nov7:30 PM ET | at UC Riversiderank 235 | Away | 39% | 75-78 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: at UC RiversideA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson JohnsonG | 1 | 36.0 | 27.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | −0.1 | +1.2 |
| Kam MartinG · transfer from Samford | 1 | 29.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | −1.8 | +0.1 |
| Shaun WysockiF | 1 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −1.0 | +0.5 |
| Oskar Wickstrom StumerF | 1 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −1.4 | +0.2 |
| Jordan RogersF · transfer from NJIT | 1 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.3 | −0.1 |
| Logan ThreattG | 1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.4 | +0.2 |
| Charlie DimmockF | 1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −1.4 | +0.2 |
| Harry BatesF | 1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −1.2 | +0.2 |
| Spencer MahoneyF · transfer from Temple | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.9 | −0.1 |
| CJ HylandG · transfer from W Carolina | 1 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.4 | +0.1 |
| Baba MbengueC · transfer from Kansas City | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −4.9 | −0.2 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.8%rank 109 | 49.5%rank 77 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.8%rank 250 | 18.2%rank 255 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 31.2%rank 255 | 31.8%rank 242 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 27.2%rank 45 | 21.9%rank 7 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +7.2 points a game (they shot 23.1%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +5.4 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −11.5
- Last season's net rating
- −6.2
- Last season's minutes returning
- 27%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −4.6
- Change since preseason
- +4.6
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 102.7 (rank 183)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 109.5 (rank 255)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.7 (rank 139)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +16.6 (rank 40)
West Coast Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Mary's | 2-0 | 0-0 | +14.2 | 114.2 | 100.0 | 55 |
| 2 | Santa Clara | 2-0 | 0-0 | +12.3 | 113.2 | 100.8 | 64 |
| 3 | San Francisco | 1-0 | 0-0 | +2.5 | 105.7 | 103.2 | 117 |
| 4 | Seattle U | 0-1 | 0-0 | +2.5 | 102.7 | 100.2 | 118 |
| 5 | Pepperdine | 0-1 | 0-0 | −3.0 | 103.6 | 106.7 | 158 |
| 6 | Loyola Marymount | 0-1 | 0-0 | −4.5 | 104.0 | 108.6 | 181 |
| 7 | Pacific | 1-0 | 0-0 | −5.4 | 101.7 | 107.1 | 189 |
| 8 | Denver | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.9 | 102.7 | 109.5 | 214 |
| 9 | San Diego | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.2 | 101.3 | 108.5 | 219 |
| 10 | Portland | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.2 | 100.7 | 108.8 | 236 |