UC Riverside Highlanders
Makes the tournament2%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 13.8
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 14-20
Net rating−8.2Rank 235 of 365 · offence 236, defence 232
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 14-20 (8 to 20 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 8-14
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 2%
- Average seed if in the field
- 13.8
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field2%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs La Vernenot Division I | Home | — | — | W 110-47 | |
| Sat 7 Nov7:30 PM ET | vs Denverrank 214 | Home | 61% | 78-75 | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov10 PM ET | at San José Staterank 141 | Away | 21% | 71-81 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: vs DenverA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: at San José StateA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony DuckettG · transfer from Saint Mary's | 1 | 23.0 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | +1.0 | +1.3 |
| James Evans Jr.G · transfer from CSU Northridge | 1 | 22.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Tyus Parrish-TillmanF | 1 | 20.0 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| De'Undrae Perteete Jr.G | 1 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | −2.7 | −0.2 |
| Easton ReaganG | 1 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Devon MalcolmG · transfer from CA Baptist | 1 | 18.0 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | +1.9 | +1.3 |
| Aidan RiceG | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Ben WallerG | 1 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | −3.1 | −0.2 |
| Parker StraussG | 1 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Jacob MajokF | 1 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Dallas WashingtonF · transfer from Long Beach St | 1 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −4.5 | −0.3 |
| Abraham OyeadierC · transfer from West Virginia | 1 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −0.3 | +0.3 |
| Brayden HarrisG | 1 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Amaury McKinneyF | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Gavin HaaseG | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.4%rank 135 | 50.4%rank 155 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.6%rank 156 | 18.6%rank 134 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 31.7%rank 128 | 31.7%rank 162 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.2%rank 131 | 25.2%rank 153 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −8.2
- Last season's net rating
- −9.2
- Last season's minutes returning
- 18%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +0.4
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 100.5 (rank 236)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 108.7 (rank 232)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.3 (rank 73)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Big West Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UC San Diego | 1-0 | 0-0 | +4.2 | 105.7 | 101.4 | 108 |
| 2 | UC Irvine | 1-0 | 0-0 | +4.2 | 104.4 | 100.2 | 109 |
| 3 | Utah Valley | 1-0 | 0-0 | +3.4 | 106.1 | 102.8 | 113 |
| 4 | UC Santa Barbara | 1-0 | 0-0 | +0.1 | 106.3 | 106.3 | 125 |
| 5 | Cal Poly | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.0 | 106.2 | 107.2 | 135 |
| 6 | Cal State Northridge | 0-1 | 0-0 | −5.4 | 100.7 | 106.1 | 189 |
| 7 | California Baptist | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.2 | 98.7 | 104.8 | 201 |
| 8 | Cal State Fullerton | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.4 | 103.8 | 110.2 | 206 |
| 9 | UC Riverside | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.2 | 100.5 | 108.7 | 235 |
| 10 | Long Beach State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.9 | 98.6 | 107.5 | 245 |
| 11 | Sacramento State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −10.2 | 99.8 | 110.0 | 258 |
| 12 | Cal State Bakersfield | 0-0 | 0-0 | −12.1 | 98.8 | 110.9 | 283 |