Probable StatsCollege basketball, rated
Menu
Sign in to make your calls

Updated Thu 5 Nov, 6:10 PM ET

Scores, schedules and lines from ESPN; past seasons from sportsdataverse. Not affiliated with any team, league or bookmaker.

Women's projections

The rest of the season played out 20,000 times with today's ratings.

Updated Thu 5 Nov, 6:10 PM ET
Title favouriteUConn 38%Won the title in this share of seasons
Games left5,520Regular-season games still to play
Automatic bids3236 at-large spots in a field of 68
Teams in over half the fields50Of the 68 places

Every team's season, simulated

Select a column to sort
363 teams
UConnBig East Conference · rank 133-231 to 35 wins20-0>99%96%100%1.298%72%38%
South CarolinaSoutheastern Conference · rank 229-425 to 33 wins14-252%41%>99%1.395%54%15%
MichiganBig Ten Conference · rank 328-423 to 31 wins16-254%38%99%1.989%45%14%
LSUSoutheastern Conference · rank 429-525 to 32 wins14-236%22%99%2.981%27%6%
Ohio StateBig Ten Conference · rank 528-623 to 31 wins14-425%18%99%2.681%26%5%
VanderbiltSoutheastern Conference · rank 628-524 to 31 wins12-415%12%98%4.263%15%3%
MinnesotaBig Ten Conference · rank 727-623 to 31 wins13-514%11%98%3.272%17%2%
LouisvilleAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 829-525 to 33 wins16-248%33%99%3.570%15%2%
OklahomaSoutheastern Conference · rank 926-722 to 30 wins12-411%10%98%3.370%16%2%
TexasSoutheastern Conference · rank 1026-822 to 31 wins12-411%9%94%3.763%14%2%
UCLABig Ten Conference · rank 1124-918 to 29 wins13-511%8%94%3.068%15%2%
DukeAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 1224-720 to 28 wins15-333%23%95%3.464%12%1%
IllinoisBig Ten Conference · rank 1325-721 to 29 wins12-68%7%95%4.948%8%1%
USCBig Ten Conference · rank 1523-1017 to 28 wins11-76%5%90%3.853%9%1%
IowaBig Ten Conference · rank 1423-918 to 27 wins12-64%5%88%4.646%7%1%
OregonBig Ten Conference · rank 2025-920 to 29 wins11-72%3%91%4.149%6%<1%
Notre DameAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 1823-918 to 27 wins13-513%12%87%4.840%5%<1%
TCUBig 12 Conference · rank 1629-525 to 33 wins14-438%29%94%5.734%4%<1%
MarylandBig Ten Conference · rank 2121-1116 to 25 wins10-83%2%77%5.529%4%<1%
North CarolinaAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 1925-921 to 30 wins13-513%12%89%5.138%4%<1%
KentuckySoutheastern Conference · rank 1724-819 to 28 wins10-64%3%88%5.138%4%<1%
NC StateAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 2325-820 to 30 wins14-414%10%89%4.839%4%<1%
Oklahoma StateBig 12 Conference · rank 2227-722 to 32 wins14-438%23%92%4.840%4%<1%
WashingtonBig Ten Conference · rank 2421-1017 to 26 wins10-81%1%71%6.219%2%<1%
Ole MissSoutheastern Conference · rank 2621-1017 to 26 wins8-81%1%66%7.013%1%<1%
TennesseeSoutheastern Conference · rank 2522-1117 to 26 wins9-71%1%71%6.120%2%<1%
BaylorBig 12 Conference · rank 2724-819 to 29 wins12-615%12%80%6.517%1%<1%
Arizona StateBig 12 Conference · rank 3426-820 to 31 wins12-611%8%79%6.316%1%<1%
West VirginiaBig 12 Conference · rank 2923-918 to 28 wins12-611%10%77%6.118%1%<1%
CaliforniaAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 3223-919 to 28 wins11-72%3%71%6.712%1%<1%
NebraskaBig Ten Conference · rank 3018-1214 to 23 wins8-10<1%1%58%6.612%1%<1%
FairfieldMetro Conference · rank 5530-526 to 33 wins20-095%81%85%12.02%<1%<1%
Michigan StateBig Ten Conference · rank 2819-1115 to 23 wins8-10<1%1%53%7.38%1%<1%
Virginia TechAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 3123-819 to 28 wins11-74%3%67%7.58%1%<1%
ColoradoBig 12 Conference · rank 3522-1017 to 27 wins11-75%6%64%7.19%<1%<1%
PrincetonIvy League · rank 3725-620 to 29 wins12-255%42%72%8.73%<1%0%
Fairleigh DickinsonNortheast Conference · rank 15726-722 to 28 wins15-191%72%73%15.1<1%0%0%
Mississippi StateSoutheastern Conference · rank 3619-1214 to 24 wins7-9<1%<1%50%7.36%<1%<1%
Montana StateBig Sky Conference · rank 5127-623 to 31 wins19-180%63%68%11.62%<1%0%
South Dakota StateSummit League · rank 4425-821 to 28 wins13-173%57%67%10.52%<1%0%
GonzagaPac-12 Conference · rank 4227-622 to 31 wins14-261%46%66%9.82%<1%0%
Santa ClaraWest Coast Conference · rank 5028-624 to 32 wins16-272%54%66%10.81%<1%0%
HowardMid-Eastern Athletic Conference · rank 11824-919 to 28 wins13-181%65%66%14.7<1%0%0%
James MadisonSun Belt Conference · rank 5626-722 to 31 wins16-266%48%61%10.81%<1%0%
ColumbiaIvy League · rank 4323-918 to 27 wins11-340%31%57%8.92%<1%0%
BYUBig 12 Conference · rank 3824-919 to 29 wins11-75%4%56%7.94%<1%0%
Green BayHorizon League · rank 8427-723 to 32 wins18-277%55%57%13.0<1%0%0%
AlabamaSoutheastern Conference · rank 3322-1119 to 27 wins7-9<1%<1%44%8.44%<1%<1%
Texas TechBig 12 Conference · rank 4818-1212 to 24 wins9-93%3%44%7.26%<1%<1%
RiceAmerican Conference · rank 6926-721 to 31 wins14-445%34%53%10.71%0%0%
Murray StateMissouri Valley Conference · rank 7328-723 to 32 wins17-361%43%52%11.7<1%<1%0%
North Dakota StateSummit League · rank 6424-720 to 28 wins12-248%38%50%11.31%<1%0%
Missouri StateConference USA · rank 7228-723 to 32 wins16-258%45%50%12.50%0%0%
San Diego StatePac-12 Conference · rank 5427-722 to 31 wins13-342%34%50%11.01%0%0%
Southern IndianaOhio Valley Conference · rank 10624-1019 to 28 wins14-261%48%49%13.5<1%0%0%
CreightonBig East Conference · rank 4621-1016 to 26 wins13-7<1%1%47%8.02%<1%0%
Abilene ChristianUnited Athletic Conference · rank 8927-621 to 32 wins13-360%45%47%13.1<1%0%0%
Saint Joseph'sAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 5922-717 to 27 wins15-344%28%45%10.31%<1%0%
VillanovaBig East Conference · rank 3921-1216 to 26 wins14-6<1%1%44%7.64%<1%0%
MiamiAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 4022-1217 to 26 wins10-81%1%43%8.43%<1%0%
VermontAmerica East Conference · rank 9525-719 to 30 wins13-359%42%44%13.6<1%0%0%
High PointBig South Conference · rank 19823-1017 to 29 wins13-358%43%43%15.3<1%0%0%
RichmondAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 6326-721 to 31 wins14-428%22%41%10.91%0%0%
LibertyConference USA · rank 8525-819 to 30 wins15-344%35%41%12.1<1%<1%0%
South FloridaAmerican Conference · rank 7525-919 to 30 wins14-435%26%40%10.9<1%0%0%
Miami (OH)Mid-American Conference · rank 8125-820 to 30 wins14-448%34%39%12.1<1%0%0%
Florida Gulf CoastAtlantic Sun Conference · rank 13923-1117 to 28 wins11-352%40%40%14.7<1%0%0%
Stephen F. AustinSouthland Conference · rank 12525-818 to 31 wins18-452%37%38%14.5<1%0%0%
HarvardIvy League · rank 5821-916 to 25 wins10-426%21%37%10.11%<1%0%
East Tennessee StateSouthern Conference · rank 15523-918 to 28 wins12-453%38%38%14.9<1%0%0%
UC IrvineBig West Conference · rank 9628-721 to 33 wins18-448%35%37%13.9<1%0%0%
Kansas StateBig 12 Conference · rank 5719-1414 to 25 wins9-91%2%35%7.23%<1%0%
JacksonvilleAtlantic Sun Conference · rank 14720-915 to 25 wins11-347%36%36%14.1<1%0%0%
Western IllinoisOhio Valley Conference · rank 12625-820 to 29 wins13-345%35%36%14.1<1%0%0%
IndianaBig Ten Conference · rank 4119-1315 to 23 wins7-11<1%<1%33%7.73%<1%0%
NavyPatriot League · rank 10124-1018 to 28 wins14-442%32%34%13.2<1%0%0%
ClemsonAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 5321-1216 to 26 wins9-9<1%1%32%8.51%<1%0%
VirginiaAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 4719-1414 to 25 wins9-9<1%1%31%7.82%<1%0%
Ball StateMid-American Conference · rank 8823-1017 to 29 wins14-437%29%31%12.8<1%0%0%
DavidsonAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 6623-1118 to 28 wins14-425%21%30%10.8<1%<1%0%
ArmyPatriot League · rank 10522-915 to 28 wins14-437%29%31%13.5<1%0%0%
Alabama A&MSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 25220-1215 to 25 wins14-441%32%32%15.40%0%0%
SyracuseAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 5218-1313 to 22 wins9-9<1%0%29%8.51%<1%0%
GeorgiaSoutheastern Conference · rank 4519-1314 to 23 wins6-10<1%<1%27%8.52%<1%0%
PortlandWest Coast Conference · rank 8724-1018 to 29 wins13-524%20%27%11.6<1%<1%0%
Iowa StateBig 12 Conference · rank 6219-1414 to 24 wins8-101%1%26%8.31%<1%0%
St. John'sBig East Conference · rank 4922-1117 to 27 wins12-8<1%1%25%9.21%<1%0%
UC San DiegoBig West Conference · rank 11026-820 to 30 wins17-531%24%26%14.1<1%0%0%
Central ArkansasUnited Athletic Conference · rank 11621-1114 to 26 wins12-429%23%25%13.2<1%0%0%
KansasBig 12 Conference · rank 7017-1611 to 23 wins7-11<1%1%24%7.51%<1%0%
UNLVMountain West Conference · rank 12220-1313 to 26 wins13-532%24%25%13.9<1%0%0%
SouthernSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 26617-1713 to 21 wins14-436%26%26%15.20%0%0%
StanfordAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 6115-189 to 21 wins8-10<1%<1%23%6.73%<1%0%
Norfolk StateMid-Eastern Athletic Conference · rank 20119-1414 to 24 wins11-329%24%24%15.0<1%0%0%
LamarSouthland Conference · rank 16323-1017 to 29 wins16-628%22%23%14.5<1%0%0%
WoffordSouthern Conference · rank 19419-1214 to 25 wins11-529%23%23%15.10%0%0%
DrexelCoastal Athletic Association · rank 14822-1116 to 27 wins13-527%21%22%14.4<1%0%0%
Grand CanyonMountain West Conference · rank 13320-1214 to 26 wins13-527%21%22%13.9<1%0%0%
RadfordBig South Conference · rank 23618-1413 to 24 wins12-427%22%22%15.70%0%0%
LehighPatriot League · rank 12119-1114 to 25 wins13-523%19%21%13.8<1%0%0%
FloridaSoutheastern Conference · rank 6516-1511 to 20 wins4-12<1%<1%19%8.01%<1%0%
Rhode IslandAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 7922-1117 to 27 wins13-514%12%19%11.6<1%0%0%
Louisiana TechSun Belt Conference · rank 9424-1018 to 28 wins13-516%14%19%12.1<1%0%0%
MonmouthCoastal Athletic Association · rank 15423-1117 to 29 wins13-526%19%20%14.6<1%0%0%
Hawai'iMountain West Conference · rank 14318-1412 to 23 wins12-623%18%19%13.5<1%0%0%
Austin PeayUnited Athletic Conference · rank 13522-1016 to 27 wins11-517%16%18%13.7<1%0%0%
Florida StateAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 6817-1412 to 22 wins7-11<1%<1%17%8.81%<1%0%
George MasonAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 8621-1315 to 27 wins12-610%9%17%11.0<1%0%0%
IdahoBig Sky Conference · rank 10725-919 to 31 wins15-514%15%17%13.4<1%0%0%
CharlestonCoastal Athletic Association · rank 17220-1313 to 26 wins12-625%17%18%14.60%0%0%
Air ForceMountain West Conference · rank 15120-1214 to 27 wins12-619%16%17%13.90%0%0%
AuburnSoutheastern Conference · rank 5917-1512 to 21 wins5-110%<1%15%8.51%<1%0%
Northern IowaMissouri Valley Conference · rank 11119-1414 to 25 wins14-616%14%16%12.3<1%0%0%
UC Santa BarbaraBig West Conference · rank 14423-1117 to 30 wins16-618%15%17%13.9<1%0%0%
Middle TennesseeConference USA · rank 11322-1216 to 27 wins13-515%14%16%12.9<1%0%0%
Loyola MarymountWest Coast Conference · rank 9823-1117 to 29 wins12-611%12%16%12.3<1%0%0%
Holy CrossPatriot League · rank 14220-1214 to 25 wins12-616%15%16%13.8<1%0%0%
UTSAAmerican Conference · rank 10417-1410 to 24 wins11-712%11%15%11.2<1%0%0%
Colorado StatePac-12 Conference · rank 9322-1017 to 27 wins10-69%9%15%11.9<1%0%0%
Georgia TechAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 7115-1610 to 20 wins7-11<1%<1%14%8.21%<1%0%
DrakeMissouri Valley Conference · rank 11722-1216 to 27 wins14-614%12%15%12.9<1%0%0%
Youngstown StateHorizon League · rank 16120-1213 to 26 wins13-714%14%15%14.4<1%0%0%
LongwoodBig South Conference · rank 27517-1411 to 24 wins10-619%16%16%15.60%0%0%
ArizonaBig 12 Conference · rank 7416-1511 to 21 wins7-11<1%<1%13%8.8<1%0%0%
Seton HallBig East Conference · rank 7617-1611 to 22 wins10-10<1%<1%13%8.6<1%0%0%
QuinnipiacMetro Conference · rank 16024-918 to 29 wins16-411%12%13%14.4<1%0%0%
ButlerBig East Conference · rank 7720-1314 to 25 wins10-10<1%<1%12%9.8<1%<1%0%
TroySun Belt Conference · rank 10920-1115 to 26 wins12-614%9%12%12.2<1%0%0%
Illinois StateMissouri Valley Conference · rank 12721-1315 to 27 wins13-711%11%13%13.0<1%0%0%
BryantAmerica East Conference · rank 17920-1113 to 26 wins9-714%12%13%14.6<1%0%0%
MaineAmerica East Conference · rank 17715-168 to 22 wins9-714%13%13%14.3<1%0%0%
UC DavisMountain West Conference · rank 17519-1512 to 27 wins11-715%12%13%14.5<1%0%0%
BelmontMissouri Valley Conference · rank 12418-1613 to 24 wins13-712%11%12%12.5<1%0%0%
California BaptistBig West Conference · rank 15322-1216 to 29 wins15-712%11%12%14.20%0%0%
UtahBig 12 Conference · rank 8016-1511 to 21 wins6-12<1%<1%11%8.9<1%0%0%
TulaneAmerican Conference · rank 11521-1015 to 26 wins12-612%8%11%12.8<1%0%0%
Cleveland StateHorizon League · rank 18122-1215 to 28 wins13-79%10%11%14.7<1%0%0%
ElonCoastal Athletic Association · rank 19618-1511 to 25 wins10-812%11%11%14.80%0%0%
UT Rio Grande ValleySouthland Conference · rank 20517-1710 to 24 wins14-811%10%10%15.00%0%0%
WisconsinBig Ten Conference · rank 6715-1612 to 19 wins4-140%<1%8%9.0<1%0%0%
PennsylvaniaIvy League · rank 10017-1112 to 22 wins8-64%5%9%11.3<1%0%0%
William & MaryCoastal Athletic Association · rank 20218-1311 to 24 wins11-712%10%10%14.80%0%0%
MassachusettsMid-American Conference · rank 13818-1512 to 24 wins11-79%9%9%14.20%0%0%
FurmanSouthern Conference · rank 23418-1412 to 25 wins9-711%10%10%15.50%0%0%
Coastal CarolinaSun Belt Conference · rank 11219-1214 to 25 wins11-77%7%9%12.9<1%0%0%
UAlbanyAmerica East Conference · rank 18719-1413 to 25 wins9-78%9%9%14.9<1%0%0%
Oregon StatePac-12 Conference · rank 10216-1611 to 22 wins9-75%6%8%11.8<1%0%0%
Eastern KentuckyUnited Athletic Conference · rank 18222-1216 to 27 wins9-77%8%9%14.60%0%0%
ToledoMid-American Conference · rank 14119-1413 to 24 wins10-87%8%9%14.0<1%0%0%
North FloridaAtlantic Sun Conference · rank 22319-1612 to 25 wins8-69%9%9%15.40%0%0%
UMBCAmerica East Conference · rank 19316-1311 to 23 wins8-89%8%9%14.8<1%0%0%
North TexasAmerican Conference · rank 11920-1414 to 25 wins10-87%6%8%12.3<1%0%0%
NJITAmerica East Conference · rank 19018-1312 to 24 wins8-88%8%9%15.20%0%0%
ChattanoogaSouthern Conference · rank 24116-1610 to 22 wins8-89%9%9%15.70%0%0%
Eastern WashingtonBig Sky Conference · rank 14021-1315 to 27 wins13-84%7%8%13.7<1%0%0%
McNeeseSouthland Conference · rank 21619-1511 to 26 wins13-98%8%9%15.00%0%0%
MarshallSun Belt Conference · rank 12020-1313 to 25 wins10-84%6%7%12.6<1%0%0%
Arkansas-Pine BluffSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 32214-189 to 20 wins10-78%10%10%15.90%0%0%
GramblingSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 32115-189 to 20 wins11-710%10%10%15.80%0%0%
TempleAmerican Conference · rank 12916-1610 to 22 wins10-85%6%7%12.1<1%0%0%
StonehillNortheast Conference · rank 30914-169 to 20 wins10-67%9%9%15.90%0%0%
San FranciscoWest Coast Conference · rank 12319-1414 to 25 wins11-74%5%7%12.5<1%0%0%
Bowling GreenMid-American Conference · rank 15020-1313 to 26 wins10-86%7%7%13.80%0%0%
GeorgetownBig East Conference · rank 9117-1711 to 23 wins8-120%<1%6%9.6<1%0%0%
Incarnate WordSouthland Conference · rank 21319-1413 to 24 wins13-96%7%8%15.10%0%0%
PepperdineWest Coast Conference · rank 13020-1314 to 26 wins10-84%5%6%12.9<1%0%0%
Sacramento StateBig West Conference · rank 18421-1315 to 27 wins13-95%7%7%14.80%0%0%
Arkansas StateSun Belt Conference · rank 12818-1412 to 24 wins11-78%5%6%13.5<1%0%0%
TowsonCoastal Athletic Association · rank 20315-169 to 21 wins10-88%7%7%15.20%0%0%
IU IndianapolisHorizon League · rank 19518-1612 to 24 wins12-85%7%7%14.9<1%0%0%
SamfordSouthern Conference · rank 27214-188 to 21 wins8-88%7%7%15.40%0%0%
OhioMid-American Conference · rank 16218-1311 to 24 wins10-86%5%6%13.7<1%0%0%
ArkansasSoutheastern Conference · rank 8114-1510 to 18 wins3-130%<1%5%9.3<1%0%0%
BradleyMissouri Valley Conference · rank 16519-1513 to 25 wins12-84%5%6%13.80%0%0%
Northern ColoradoBig Sky Conference · rank 16419-1513 to 26 wins12-84%5%6%13.5<1%0%0%
MercyhurstNortheast Conference · rank 31917-1711 to 22 wins10-65%7%7%15.90%0%0%
South Carolina UpstateBig South Conference · rank 30517-1511 to 23 wins9-76%7%7%15.80%0%0%
Texas A&MSoutheastern Conference · rank 7815-1612 to 18 wins3-130%0%4%9.7<1%0%0%
RutgersBig Ten Conference · rank 8316-1712 to 19 wins4-140%0%4%9.6<1%0%0%
MarquetteBig East Conference · rank 9216-1710 to 21 wins8-120%<1%4%9.8<1%0%0%
Southern UtahBig Sky Conference · rank 17020-1413 to 26 wins12-93%5%5%13.9<1%0%0%
BinghamtonAmerica East Conference · rank 20414-198 to 20 wins8-84%5%5%15.30%0%0%
StetsonAtlantic Sun Conference · rank 24915-189 to 22 wins7-75%6%6%15.60%0%0%
App StateSun Belt Conference · rank 14517-1411 to 23 wins9-92%4%5%12.9<1%0%0%
LipscombAtlantic Sun Conference · rank 24714-168 to 19 wins7-75%6%6%15.50%0%0%
North Carolina A&TCoastal Athletic Association · rank 23116-169 to 23 wins9-97%5%6%15.00%0%0%
Alcorn StateSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 33414-159 to 19 wins10-76%7%7%15.60%0%0%
CincinnatiBig 12 Conference · rank 9914-189 to 20 wins6-12<1%<1%4%9.6<1%0%0%
George WashingtonAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 13618-1611 to 25 wins8-102%2%4%11.8<1%0%0%
DaytonAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 14616-149 to 23 wins9-92%2%4%11.8<1%0%0%
Tennessee TechSouthern Conference · rank 27614-168 to 20 wins7-94%5%5%15.60%0%0%
Kent StateMid-American Conference · rank 17616-1710 to 22 wins10-84%4%4%14.6<1%0%0%
SIU EdwardsvilleOhio Valley Conference · rank 24817-1611 to 24 wins8-84%5%5%15.00%0%0%
Florida A&MSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 33516-1710 to 21 wins9-95%6%6%15.90%0%0%
NichollsSouthland Conference · rank 24516-169 to 23 wins11-114%5%5%15.10%0%0%
New MexicoMountain West Conference · rank 20713-188 to 19 wins8-104%4%4%15.10%0%0%
Boise StatePac-12 Conference · rank 15617-1511 to 24 wins7-91%2%4%11.9<1%0%0%
South DakotaSummit League · rank 17819-1313 to 25 wins8-62%3%4%13.2<1%0%0%
UT MartinOhio Valley Conference · rank 23716-1711 to 22 wins8-83%4%4%15.20%0%0%
WinthropBig South Conference · rank 32814-198 to 20 wins8-85%5%5%15.80%0%0%
East CarolinaAmerican Conference · rank 16717-1511 to 23 wins8-102%3%4%12.9<1%0%0%
LindenwoodOhio Valley Conference · rank 24216-1810 to 21 wins8-83%4%4%15.60%0%0%
PacificWest Coast Conference · rank 18016-1710 to 23 wins9-92%3%4%12.8<1%0%0%
Washington StatePac-12 Conference · rank 13714-189 to 20 wins8-82%2%3%12.2<1%0%0%
UICMissouri Valley Conference · rank 18617-1612 to 23 wins10-102%3%4%13.7<1%0%0%
Northwestern StateSouthland Conference · rank 25316-1810 to 23 wins11-114%4%4%15.10%0%0%
Georgia SouthernSun Belt Conference · rank 15818-1511 to 24 wins8-102%3%3%13.50%0%0%
Utah ValleyBig West Conference · rank 21417-1710 to 24 wins11-113%4%4%14.40%0%0%
OaklandHorizon League · rank 22815-188 to 22 wins10-103%4%4%15.10%0%0%
PurdueBig Ten Conference · rank 9712-189 to 16 wins3-150%0%2%9.1<1%0%0%
MissouriSoutheastern Conference · rank 9014-1810 to 17 wins2-140%0%2%9.6<1%0%0%
Maryland Eastern ShoreMid-Eastern Athletic Conference · rank 29812-207 to 16 wins8-63%4%4%15.70%0%0%
TulsaAmerican Conference · rank 16916-1710 to 23 wins8-102%2%3%13.2<1%0%0%
Old DominionSun Belt Conference · rank 17016-1611 to 22 wins8-101%2%3%12.60%0%0%
UNC GreensboroSouthern Conference · rank 29316-1610 to 21 wins7-93%4%4%15.70%0%0%
Purdue Fort WayneHorizon League · rank 22716-179 to 23 wins10-102%3%3%15.40%0%0%
Central MichiganMid-American Conference · rank 19213-197 to 19 wins8-102%2%3%14.70%0%0%
ProvidenceBig East Conference · rank 10814-189 to 20 wins7-130%<1%2%10.5<1%0%0%
Little RockUnited Athletic Conference · rank 23013-206 to 20 wins6-102%3%3%14.80%0%0%
SMUAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 11414-1810 to 19 wins4-140%0%2%10.3<1%0%0%
SienaMetro Conference · rank 22620-1413 to 26 wins12-81%3%3%15.40%0%0%
Coppin StateMid-Eastern Athletic Conference · rank 31014-208 to 19 wins7-73%4%4%15.70%0%0%
Tarleton StateUnited Athletic Conference · rank 22416-1711 to 22 wins7-91%3%3%15.00%0%0%
MemphisAmerican Conference · rank 18915-188 to 22 wins8-102%2%2%13.40%0%0%
East Texas A&MSouthland Conference · rank 26015-199 to 21 wins11-112%3%3%15.50%0%0%
Stony BrookCoastal Athletic Association · rank 25114-179 to 20 wins8-102%3%3%15.50%0%0%
Northern KentuckyHorizon League · rank 24313-216 to 20 wins9-112%3%3%15.10%0%0%
NorthwesternBig Ten Conference · rank 10312-208 to 16 wins2-160%0%1%9.3<1%0%0%
St. ThomasSummit League · rank 18315-1610 to 20 wins7-71%2%2%13.70%0%0%
UCFBig 12 Conference · rank 13114-189 to 19 wins4-140%<1%1%10.20%0%0%
Western KentuckyConference USA · rank 20917-1512 to 23 wins9-91%2%2%14.70%0%0%
MercerSouthern Conference · rank 30713-186 to 20 wins6-102%3%3%15.70%0%0%
VCUAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 16615-1610 to 20 wins8-10<1%1%1%13.00%0%0%
Idaho StateBig Sky Conference · rank 19715-189 to 21 wins10-101%2%2%14.60%0%0%
New HampshireAmerica East Conference · rank 26314-188 to 21 wins5-112%2%2%15.40%0%0%
CharlotteAmerican Conference · rank 19112-187 to 18 wins8-101%1%1%13.60%0%0%
Jackson StateSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 34411-196 to 15 wins8-92%3%3%15.90%0%0%
FordhamAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 17417-1512 to 23 wins7-11<1%1%1%13.30%0%0%
HamptonCoastal Athletic Association · rank 26713-177 to 19 wins7-112%2%2%15.60%0%0%
La SalleAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 16813-168 to 18 wins7-111%1%1%13.20%0%0%
HofstraCoastal Athletic Association · rank 27413-178 to 19 wins7-111%2%2%15.70%0%0%
SE LouisianaSouthland Conference · rank 28014-199 to 20 wins10-121%2%2%15.40%0%0%
Wake ForestAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 13412-199 to 16 wins3-150%0%0%—0%0%0%
Gardner-WebbBig South Conference · rank 34111-205 to 17 wins6-102%3%3%15.80%0%0%
Sam HoustonConference USA · rank 23314-178 to 20 wins8-101%1%2%14.30%0%0%
UC RiversideBig West Conference · rank 25015-188 to 22 wins9-131%2%2%15.20%0%0%
Chicago StateNortheast Conference · rank 34212-216 to 17 wins8-82%3%3%16.00%0%0%
West FloridaAtlantic Sun Conference · rank 29614-189 to 20 wins5-91%2%2%15.80%0%0%
Southern MissSun Belt Conference · rank 20814-178 to 21 wins7-111%1%1%13.30%0%0%
MontanaBig Sky Conference · rank 22514-198 to 20 wins8-12<1%1%1%14.50%0%0%
Northern ArizonaBig Sky Conference · rank 22013-197 to 19 wins8-12<1%1%1%14.30%0%0%
XavierBig East Conference · rank 14810-205 to 15 wins5-150%0%<1%—0%0%0%
PittsburghAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 15911-178 to 14 wins3-150%0%1%—0%0%0%
NevadaMountain West Conference · rank 25912-226 to 18 wins6-121%2%2%15.70%0%0%
Cal State FullertonBig West Conference · rank 24016-189 to 22 wins10-121%1%1%15.40%0%0%
UABAmerican Conference · rank 21214-188 to 22 wins6-121%1%1%13.20%0%0%
Loyola MarylandPatriot League · rank 26412-187 to 19 wins7-111%1%2%15.00%0%0%
Robert MorrisHorizon League · rank 26213-207 to 19 wins8-121%1%1%15.60%0%0%
BrownIvy League · rank 18513-178 to 18 wins5-9<1%<1%1%—0%0%0%
Penn StateBig Ten Conference · rank 1325-242 to 9 wins2-160%0%<1%—0%0%0%
DePaulBig East Conference · rank 15212-218 to 18 wins4-160%0%<1%—0%0%0%
New HavenNortheast Conference · rank 34812-206 to 18 wins7-92%3%3%15.90%0%0%
Boston UniversityPatriot League · rank 25714-189 to 20 wins7-111%1%1%15.60%0%0%
Long Island UniversityNortheast Conference · rank 34611-196 to 16 wins7-91%3%3%16.00%0%0%
Charleston SouthernBig South Conference · rank 3409-224 to 14 wins6-101%2%2%16.00%0%0%
Jacksonville StateConference USA · rank 24615-179 to 21 wins7-111%1%1%14.60%0%0%
MilwaukeeHorizon League · rank 26412-226 to 19 wins8-12<1%1%1%15.50%0%0%
Oral RobertsSummit League · rank 21114-1710 to 18 wins6-8<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
HoustonBig 12 Conference · rank 1739-216 to 13 wins2-160%0%<1%—0%0%0%
St. BonaventureAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 20613-187 to 20 wins6-12<1%<1%1%—0%0%0%
Kennesaw StateConference USA · rank 25414-198 to 21 wins7-11<1%1%1%14.80%0%0%
CampbellCoastal Athletic Association · rank 28711-235 to 17 wins7-111%1%1%15.80%0%0%
Eastern MichiganMid-American Conference · rank 23212-207 to 18 wins6-12<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
Alabama StateSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 34912-207 to 17 wins7-111%2%2%15.90%0%0%
Weber StateBig Sky Conference · rank 23914-188 to 20 wins7-13<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
UTEPMountain West Conference · rank 28512-206 to 19 wins5-131%1%1%15.40%0%0%
San DiegoWest Coast Conference · rank 21515-199 to 20 wins6-12<1%<1%1%—0%0%0%
CornellIvy League · rank 20014-179 to 18 wins4-10<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Saint LouisAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 19912-216 to 17 wins5-13<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Texas StatePac-12 Conference · rank 21015-1710 to 20 wins5-11<1%<1%1%—0%0%0%
West GeorgiaUnited Athletic Conference · rank 26815-1810 to 21 wins5-11<1%1%1%15.30%0%0%
Florida AtlanticAmerican Conference · rank 21711-205 to 17 wins5-13<1%<1%1%—0%0%0%
NortheasternCoastal Athletic Association · rank 28811-185 to 17 wins7-111%1%1%15.80%0%0%
Tennessee StateOhio Valley Conference · rank 30710-214 to 16 wins5-111%1%1%15.40%0%0%
Detroit MercyHorizon League · rank 27813-207 to 19 wins7-13<1%1%1%15.40%0%0%
BucknellPatriot League · rank 27113-208 to 18 wins7-11<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
North Carolina CentralMid-Eastern Athletic Conference · rank 33012-207 to 18 wins6-81%2%2%15.90%0%0%
WyomingMountain West Conference · rank 2829-234 to 15 wins6-12<1%1%1%15.40%0%0%
South AlabamaSun Belt Conference · rank 22012-207 to 19 wins6-12<1%<1%1%—0%0%0%
Eastern IllinoisOhio Valley Conference · rank 2999-234 to 14 wins6-101%1%1%15.60%0%0%
ColgatePatriot League · rank 28613-187 to 19 wins6-12<1%1%1%15.20%0%0%
Fresno StatePac-12 Conference · rank 22212-206 to 19 wins4-12<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Boston CollegeAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 1887-234 to 10 wins2-160%0%<1%—0%0%0%
Wright StateHorizon League · rank 28112-216 to 18 wins7-13<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
Bethune-CookmanSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 35312-225 to 19 wins6-122%2%2%15.90%0%0%
YaleIvy League · rank 21814-169 to 19 wins3-11<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
LouisianaSun Belt Conference · rank 23812-206 to 19 wins5-13<1%<1%1%—0%0%0%
ManhattanMetro Conference · rank 29416-169 to 23 wins10-10<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
Georgia StateSun Belt Conference · rank 22910-205 to 15 wins5-13<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
DuquesneAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 21914-199 to 20 wins5-13<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
MaristMetro Conference · rank 29215-188 to 21 wins11-9<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
Sacred HeartMetro Conference · rank 29115-189 to 21 wins10-10<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
UT ArlingtonUnited Athletic Conference · rank 2849-214 to 15 wins5-11<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
Florida InternationalConference USA · rank 27011-186 to 15 wins6-12<1%<1%0%—0%0%0%
Western MichiganMid-American Conference · rank 2569-214 to 15 wins5-13<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Western CarolinaSouthern Conference · rank 33612-207 to 19 wins4-121%1%1%15.80%0%0%
Queens UniversityAtlantic Sun Conference · rank 31812-206 to 17 wins4-10<1%1%1%15.80%0%0%
BuffaloMid-American Conference · rank 25511-225 to 17 wins5-13<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Loyola ChicagoAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 2359-224 to 15 wins4-14<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Saint Mary'sWest Coast Conference · rank 24311-236 to 16 wins5-13<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
DenverWest Coast Conference · rank 26011-227 to 16 wins5-13<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Mississippi Valley StateSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 3529-234 to 15 wins7-101%2%2%16.00%0%0%
Houston ChristianSouthland Conference · rank 30611-226 to 17 wins8-14<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
AkronMid-American Conference · rank 2698-244 to 14 wins4-14<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Cal State NorthridgeBig West Conference · rank 30010-215 to 17 wins7-15<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
Morehead StateOhio Valley Conference · rank 31512-227 to 17 wins5-11<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
MerrimackMetro Conference · rank 29712-197 to 18 wins10-10<1%0%1%—0%0%0%
DartmouthIvy League · rank 25810-196 to 14 wins2-120%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Kansas CitySummit League · rank 27711-206 to 16 wins4-10<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
North AlabamaUnited Athletic Conference · rank 29511-216 to 16 wins4-12<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Southern IllinoisMissouri Valley Conference · rank 28910-244 to 17 wins6-14<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
UL MonroeSun Belt Conference · rank 2739-225 to 14 wins4-14<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
UNC AshevilleBig South Conference · rank 35110-225 to 17 wins5-111%1%1%15.90%0%0%
Wichita StateAmerican Conference · rank 2798-234 to 14 wins4-14<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
San José StateMountain West Conference · rank 3018-243 to 14 wins4-14<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Indiana StateMissouri Valley Conference · rank 29010-245 to 15 wins5-15<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Utah StatePac-12 Conference · rank 2838-243 to 13 wins2-14<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
LafayettePatriot League · rank 30310-206 to 15 wins5-13<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Mount St. Mary'sMetro Conference · rank 31112-217 to 18 wins9-11<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
New Mexico StateConference USA · rank 3048-243 to 14 wins5-13<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
DelawareConference USA · rank 3029-224 to 14 wins5-13<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
WagnerNortheast Conference · rank 3569-214 to 14 wins6-101%1%1%15.90%0%0%
Northern IllinoisHorizon League · rank 31210-235 to 15 wins5-15<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Cal PolyBig West Conference · rank 31310-234 to 16 wins6-16<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
IonaMetro Conference · rank 32312-207 to 18 wins8-12<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
American UniversityPatriot League · rank 3268-233 to 13 wins4-14<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
RiderMetro Conference · rank 32012-196 to 17 wins8-12<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
UNC WilmingtonCoastal Athletic Association · rank 3319-214 to 15 wins4-14<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Texas A&M-Corpus ChristiSouthland Conference · rank 3339-224 to 15 wins6-16<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Long Beach StateBig West Conference · rank 3247-253 to 13 wins5-17<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
North DakotaSummit League · rank 3148-184 to 12 wins3-110%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
EvansvilleMissouri Valley Conference · rank 3168-263 to 13 wins4-160%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
OmahaSummit League · rank 3177-243 to 12 wins3-110%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
CanisiusMetro Conference · rank 33211-234 to 18 wins8-12<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Southeast Missouri StateOhio Valley Conference · rank 3378-254 to 13 wins4-12<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Central ConnecticutNortheast Conference · rank 3558-243 to 13 wins5-11<1%1%1%16.00%0%0%
Utah TechBig Sky Conference · rank 32410-235 to 16 wins4-160%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Portland StateBig Sky Conference · rank 3277-263 to 12 wins4-160%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
UMass LowellAmerica East Conference · rank 3388-234 to 13 wins2-14<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Morgan StateMid-Eastern Athletic Conference · rank 3478-244 to 12 wins5-9<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
Seattle UWest Coast Conference · rank 3298-235 to 12 wins2-160%0%0%—0%0%0%
Cal State BakersfieldBig West Conference · rank 3398-263 to 13 wins4-18<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
BellarmineAtlantic Sun Conference · rank 3437-244 to 11 wins2-12<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Prairie View A&MSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 3619-205 to 14 wins4-13<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
Delaware StateMid-Eastern Athletic Conference · rank 3548-224 to 12 wins4-10<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Le MoyneNortheast Conference · rank 3578-244 to 13 wins5-11<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
ValparaisoMissouri Valley Conference · rank 3454-291 to 8 wins2-180%0%0%—0%0%0%
Saint Peter'sMetro Conference · rank 3508-233 to 13 wins6-140%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Texas SouthernSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 3636-272 to 10 wins4-13<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
South Carolina StateMid-Eastern Athletic Conference · rank 3608-243 to 13 wins3-11<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
PresbyterianBig South Conference · rank 3627-234 to 11 wins3-13<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
LSU New OrleansSouthland Conference · rank 3584-291 to 7 wins2-200%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
NiagaraMetro Conference · rank 3596-262 to 11 wins4-160%0%0%—0%0%0%

Each of 20,000 simulated seasons draws every team's true strength around its rating (more spread for teams with few games), plays every remaining game, the conference tournaments (up to 12 teams, neutral floors) and the NCAA tournament, with the field picked and seeded by a model of the committee fitted on past seasons. Records include conference tournament games. How the simulation works.