Campbell Fighting Camels
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.8
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 11-23
Net rating−14.9Rank 287 of 363 · offence 297, defence 244
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 11-23 (5 to 17 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 7-11
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.8
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Austin Peayrank 134 | Home | 52% | 73-72 | L 47-62 | Wrong |
| Wed 4 Nov | at NC Staterank 23 | Away | 0% | 45-85 | L 45-80 | Right |
| Sun 8 Nov1 PM ET | at Davidsonrank 66 | Away | 2% | 48-75 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov6 PM ET | vs Radfordrank 236 | Home | 54% | 62-60 | — |
Rooting guide
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine FeltonG | 2 | 32.0 | 13.5 | 7.5 | 2.0 | −0.6 | +0.9 |
| Jessica WoodsG | 2 | 31.0 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | −5.2 | −1.7 |
| Hana PredojevicF | 2 | 29.5 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | −3.3 | −0.6 |
| Emerson ThompsonG | 2 | 24.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | −3.3 | −0.5 |
| Genesis SchneebergF | 2 | 23.0 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | −2.9 | −0.3 |
| Peris SmithF | 2 | 14.5 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | −2.8 | −0.2 |
| Kiaya DavisG | 2 | 13.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −2.5 | −0.1 |
| Mikayla TabornF | 2 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | −3.6 | −0.3 |
| Amit ArieliG | 2 | 11.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Durusah BilenG | 2 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | −2.3 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.7%rank 136 | 45.6%rank 291 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 28.6%rank 362 | 21.1%rank 360 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 34.0%rank 107 | 34.2%rank 267 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 19.2%rank 296 | 18.0%rank 9 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.5 expected (−0.5)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +1.9 points a game (they shot 24.1%, league 28.5%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +2.7 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −8.9
- Last season's net rating
- −4.8
- Last season's minutes returning
- 22%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- 0.0
- Change since preseason
- −6.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 80.8 (rank 297)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 95.6 (rank 244)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 70.8 (rank 354)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +14.4 (rank 57)
Coastal Athletic Association by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drexel | 1-0 | 0-0 | −0.9 | 91.9 | 92.8 | 148 |
| 2 | Monmouth | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.5 | 86.8 | 88.4 | 153 |
| 3 | Charleston | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.9 | 89.4 | 92.3 | 172 |
| 4 | Elon | 1-0 | 0-0 | −5.9 | 87.4 | 93.3 | 196 |
| 5 | William & Mary | 1-0 | 0-0 | −6.7 | 86.3 | 93.0 | 202 |
| 6 | Towson | 0-2 | 0-0 | −7.0 | 87.8 | 94.9 | 203 |
| 7 | North Carolina A&T | 1-0 | 0-0 | −10.0 | 84.1 | 94.1 | 231 |
| 8 | Stony Brook | 2-0 | 0-0 | −11.8 | 86.6 | 98.3 | 251 |
| 9 | Hampton | 0-2 | 0-0 | −13.0 | 83.8 | 96.8 | 267 |
| 10 | Hofstra | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.3 | 82.9 | 96.3 | 274 |
| 11 | Campbell | 0-2 | 0-0 | −14.9 | 80.8 | 95.6 | 287 |
| 12 | Northeastern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.0 | 83.4 | 98.4 | 288 |
| 13 | UNC Wilmington | 1-0 | 0-0 | −20.9 | 78.8 | 99.7 | 331 |