Drexel Dragons
Makes the tournament22%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.4
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 22-11
Net rating−0.9Rank 148 of 363 · offence 131, defence 179
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 22-11 (16 to 27 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 13-5
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 27%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 21%
- Average seed if in the field
- 14.4
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field22%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Maristrank 292 | Home | 82% | 81-68 | W 62-47 | Right |
| Fri 6 Nov1 PM ET | at Pennsylvaniarank 99 | Away | 24% | 59-69 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov6 PM ET | at Virginiarank 47 | Away | 8% | 56-75 | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: at PennsylvaniaA win: 21% · a loss: 22%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: at VirginiaA win: 22% · a loss: 22%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Garcia RoigG | 1 | 34.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | −0.1 | +1.2 |
| Laine McGurkG | 1 | 34.0 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | +2.2 | +2.6 |
| Molly RulloG | 1 | 32.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | +1.2 |
| Molly LavinF | 1 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | −1.6 | +0.2 |
| Bria WatkinsG | 1 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −0.3 | +0.7 |
| Megan RulloG | 1 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −0.7 | +0.5 |
| Aisha DaboF · transfer from Hampton | 1 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | −1.0 | +0.3 |
| Emilee JonesG | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Miley MalcolmF | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.2 | +0.1 |
| Emma MontanariG | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.2 | +0.1 |
| Meliah Van-OtooG | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.2 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.2%rank 262 | 45.3%rank 265 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 22.3%rank 35 | 23.2%rank 283 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 32.1%rank 307 | 30.2%rank 4 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.3%rank 230 | 19.5%rank 89 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 1.0 won, 0.8 expected (+0.2)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- 0.0 points a game (they shot 28.6%, league 28.5%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +1.1 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −3.1
- Last season's net rating
- +0.5
- Last season's minutes returning
- 51%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −1.6
- Change since preseason
- +2.2
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 91.9 (rank 131)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 92.8 (rank 179)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 70.1 (rank 361)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −15.6 (rank 222)
Coastal Athletic Association by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drexel | 1-0 | 0-0 | −0.9 | 91.9 | 92.8 | 148 |
| 2 | Monmouth | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.5 | 86.8 | 88.4 | 153 |
| 3 | Charleston | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.9 | 89.4 | 92.3 | 172 |
| 4 | Elon | 1-0 | 0-0 | −5.9 | 87.4 | 93.3 | 196 |
| 5 | William & Mary | 1-0 | 0-0 | −6.7 | 86.3 | 93.0 | 202 |
| 6 | Towson | 0-2 | 0-0 | −7.0 | 87.8 | 94.9 | 203 |
| 7 | North Carolina A&T | 1-0 | 0-0 | −10.0 | 84.1 | 94.1 | 231 |
| 8 | Stony Brook | 2-0 | 0-0 | −11.8 | 86.6 | 98.3 | 251 |
| 9 | Hampton | 0-2 | 0-0 | −13.0 | 83.8 | 96.8 | 267 |
| 10 | Hofstra | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.3 | 82.9 | 96.3 | 274 |
| 11 | Campbell | 0-2 | 0-0 | −14.9 | 80.8 | 95.6 | 287 |
| 12 | Northeastern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.0 | 83.4 | 98.4 | 288 |
| 13 | UNC Wilmington | 1-0 | 0-0 | −20.9 | 78.8 | 99.7 | 331 |