Northeastern Huskies
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.8
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 11-18
Net rating−15.0Rank 288 of 363 · offence 271, defence 300
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 11-18 (5 to 17 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 7-11
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.8
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs UAlbanyrank 187 | Home | 39% | 72-76 | L 61-65 | Right |
| Fri 6 Nov6 PM ET | at Boston Universityrank 256 | Away | 30% | 59-66 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov7 PM ET | at Sacred Heartrank 291 | Away | 37% | 60-65 | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: at Boston UniversityA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: at Sacred HeartA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camryn CollinsG | 1 | 34.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | −3.2 | −0.7 |
| Yirsy QuelizG | 1 | 32.0 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | −3.5 | −0.8 |
| Morgan MatthewsG | 1 | 30.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | −3.8 | −0.9 |
| Justice TrambleF | 1 | 29.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −1.1 | +0.6 |
| Anja BukvicG | 1 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | −2.6 | −0.2 |
| Summer BostockG · transfer from Houston | 1 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −1.9 | +0.1 |
| Kailee Beaudion-FoliakiG | 1 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −5.5 | −1.1 |
| Maya SummervilleF | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | −3.2 | −0.2 |
| Taylor HolohanF | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −1.0 | +0.1 |
| Amanda SmithG · transfer from East Carolina | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −1.7 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 43.0%rank 333 | 45.6%rank 286 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 22.8%rank 53 | 22.1%rank 346 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 31.5%rank 330 | 31.9%rank 47 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 19.4%rank 290 | 20.3%rank 132 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.4 expected (−0.4)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −1.3 points a game (they shot 30.4%, league 28.5%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −2.5 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- 0-1
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −14.7
- Last season's net rating
- −16.2
- Last season's minutes returning
- 74%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- 0.0
- Change since preseason
- −0.4
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 83.4 (rank 271)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 98.4 (rank 300)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.6 (rank 249)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −4.3 (rank 159)
Coastal Athletic Association by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drexel | 1-0 | 0-0 | −0.9 | 91.9 | 92.8 | 148 |
| 2 | Monmouth | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.5 | 86.8 | 88.4 | 153 |
| 3 | Charleston | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.9 | 89.4 | 92.3 | 172 |
| 4 | Elon | 1-0 | 0-0 | −5.9 | 87.4 | 93.3 | 196 |
| 5 | William & Mary | 1-0 | 0-0 | −6.7 | 86.3 | 93.0 | 202 |
| 6 | Towson | 0-2 | 0-0 | −7.0 | 87.8 | 94.9 | 203 |
| 7 | North Carolina A&T | 1-0 | 0-0 | −10.0 | 84.1 | 94.1 | 231 |
| 8 | Stony Brook | 2-0 | 0-0 | −11.8 | 86.6 | 98.3 | 251 |
| 9 | Hampton | 0-2 | 0-0 | −13.0 | 83.8 | 96.8 | 267 |
| 10 | Hofstra | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.3 | 82.9 | 96.3 | 274 |
| 11 | Campbell | 0-2 | 0-0 | −14.9 | 80.8 | 95.6 | 287 |
| 12 | Northeastern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.0 | 83.4 | 98.4 | 288 |
| 13 | UNC Wilmington | 1-0 | 0-0 | −20.9 | 78.8 | 99.7 | 331 |