Hampton Lady Pirates

Women's · Coastal Athletic Association · 0-2, 0-0 in conference · last L2

Next: vs Apprentice School · Mon 9 Nov, 7 PM ET

Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.

Makes the tournament2%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.7

Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 13-17

Net rating−13.0Rank 267 of 363 · offence 260, defence 275

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 13-17 (7 to 19 wins)
Projected conference record: 7-11
Wins or shares the conference title: 2%
Wins the conference tournament: 2%
Average seed if in the field: 15.7
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field2%
Round of 320%
Sweet 160%
Elite Eight0%
Final Four0%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result	Pick
Mon 2 Nov	at Houstonrank 173	Away	7%	68-89	L 65-73	Right
Thu 5 Nov	at SMUrank 114	Away	6%	55-76	L 54-66	Right
Mon 9 Nov7 PM ET	vs Apprentice Schoolnot Division I	Home	—	—	—

Rooting guide

Chance of the conference title now: 2% · the next 7 days

No games this week

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Kiki McElrathG	2	35.5	26.0	1.0	1.5	−2.3	−0.1
Aaryn BattleG	2	35.0	11.0	6.0	4.5	−3.4	−0.8
Zoey RixterG · transfer from SE Missouri	2	28.5	5.0	4.0	0.5	−2.5	−0.2
Maya WoodsonF · transfer from Morgan St	2	22.5	3.0	7.0	0.5	−4.0	−0.8
Justus FitzgeraldF · transfer from Syracuse	2	19.0	2.5	2.5	0.5	+1.6	+1.3
Arlisha BostonG	2	16.5	3.5	2.0	1.5	−4.9	−0.8
Kennedy HallF · transfer from Boston College	2	14.5	6.0	5.5	1.0	−2.4	−0.1
Amiyah DonaldsonG · transfer from Maine	2	13.5	0.0	1.0	1.0	−2.9	−0.2
Nilah RiveraG	2	11.5	1.5	1.5	0.5	−1.5	+0.1
Janaye WalkerC	1	4.0	2.0	1.0	0.0	−4.6	−0.2
Eghosa ObasuyiG · transfer from Georgia St	1	3.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	−2.2	0.0

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	42.4%rank 350	45.0%rank 245	44.7%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin	22.3%rank 30	26.0%rank 14	23.8%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin	36.1%rank 15	35.3%rank 323	33.5%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin	23.6%rank 13	17.4%rank 5	20.5%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Wins against the pre-game chances: 0.0 won, 0.1 expected (−0.1)
Opponents' three-point shooting: +0.2 points a game (they shot 28.1%, league 28.5%)
Opponents' free throws: +2.2 points a game
Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

2 games played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: −18.6
Last season's net rating: −17.5
Last season's minutes returning: 45%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: −4.0
Change since preseason: +5.6

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 83.8 (rank 260)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 96.8 (rank 275)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 72.4 (rank 269)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: −0.1 (rank 125)

Coastal Athletic Association by rating

13 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Drexel	1-0	0-0	−0.9	91.9	92.8	148
2	Monmouth	1-0	0-0	−1.5	86.8	88.4	153
3	Charleston	1-0	0-0	−2.9	89.4	92.3	172
4	Elon	1-0	0-0	−5.9	87.4	93.3	196
5	William & Mary	1-0	0-0	−6.7	86.3	93.0	202
6	Towson	0-2	0-0	−7.0	87.8	94.9	203
7	North Carolina A&T	1-0	0-0	−10.0	84.1	94.1	231
8	Stony Brook	2-0	0-0	−11.8	86.6	98.3	251
9	Hampton	0-2	0-0	−13.0	83.8	96.8	267
10	Hofstra	0-1	0-0	−13.3	82.9	96.3	274
11	Campbell	0-2	0-0	−14.9	80.8	95.6	287
12	Northeastern	0-1	0-0	−15.0	83.4	98.4	288
13	UNC Wilmington	1-0	0-0	−20.9	78.8	99.7	331