North Carolina A&T Aggies

Women's · Coastal Athletic Association · 1-0, 0-0 in conference · last W1

Next: at Marshall · Fri 6 Nov, 6 PM ET

NC A&T15%85%Marshall

Projected 58-72 · Game page

Makes the tournament5%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.8

Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 16-16

Net rating−10.0Rank 233 of 363 · offence 255, defence 208

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 16-16 (9 to 23 wins)
Projected conference record: 9-9
Wins or shares the conference title: 6%
Wins the conference tournament: 5%
Average seed if in the field: 14.8
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field5%
Round of 32<1%
Sweet 160%
Elite Eight0%
Final Four0%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result
Mon 2 Nov	vs Wingatenot Division I	Home	—	—	W 70-59
Fri 6 Nov6 PM ET	at Marshallrank 121	Away	15%	58-72	—
Tue 10 Nov8 PM ET	at Nebraskarank 29	Away	1%	50-84	—

Rooting guide

Chance of making the NCAA tournament now: 5% · the next 7 days

Fri 6 Nov: at MarshallA win: 5% · a loss: 5%0 pts
Tue 10 Nov: at NebraskaA win: 2% · a loss: 5%−3 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Paris LockeF	1	29.0	11.0	11.0	3.0	−1.8	+0.2
Drew AlexanderG · transfer from Temple	1	25.0	17.0	3.0	2.0	−1.2	+0.5
Darrionna HowardF	1	24.0	5.0	4.0	0.0	−2.7	−0.2
Jada BatesF · transfer from Arkansas	1	24.0	1.0	2.0	0.0	−2.3	−0.1
Maraja PassG · transfer from Elon	1	23.0	10.0	2.0	2.0	−2.9	−0.3
Anaya KarriemF	1	21.0	12.0	7.0	0.0	−2.7	−0.2
Rania CurryG · transfer from Mercer	1	20.0	4.0	2.0	2.0	−2.8	−0.2
Yves CoxC · transfer from Arkansas St	1	19.0	4.0	4.0	0.0	+1.0	+1.1
Crystal HardyG	1	12.0	2.0	0.0	0.0	−2.4	−0.1
Honor HallG	1	3.0	4.0	0.0	2.0	−2.4	0.0

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	44.7%rank 148	44.7%rank 141	44.7%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin	23.9%rank 167	23.9%rank 138	23.9%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin	33.3%rank 147	33.3%rank 147	33.3%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin	20.8%rank 147	20.8%rank 154	20.8%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: −10.0
Last season's net rating: −10.3
Last season's minutes returning: 50%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: −2.9
Change since preseason: 0.0

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 84.0 (rank 255)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 94.0 (rank 208)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 72.6 (rank 226)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: —

Coastal Athletic Association by rating

13 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Drexel	1-0	0-0	−0.4	91.9	92.3	146
2	Monmouth	1-0	0-0	−1.5	86.8	88.3	152
3	Charleston	1-0	0-0	−2.9	89.3	92.2	170
4	William & Mary	2-0	0-0	−4.0	87.5	91.5	183
5	Elon	1-0	0-0	−5.9	87.3	93.3	192
6	Towson	0-2	0-0	−7.0	88.0	95.0	202
7	North Carolina A&T	1-0	0-0	−10.0	84.0	94.0	233
8	Stony Brook	2-0	0-0	−11.8	86.5	98.3	250
9	Hampton	0-2	0-0	−13.0	83.9	96.9	268
10	Hofstra	0-1	0-0	−13.7	82.8	96.4	274
11	Campbell	0-2	0-0	−14.8	80.7	95.6	288
12	Northeastern	0-1	0-0	−15.3	83.6	98.9	290
13	UNC Wilmington	1-0	0-0	−20.9	78.7	99.7	333