Nebraska Cornhuskers

Women's · Big Ten Conference · 1-0, 0-0 in conference · last W1

Next: vs W Illinois · Sat 7 Nov, 3 PM ET

W Illinois4%96%Nebraska

Projected 82-58 · Game page

Makes the tournament57%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 6.6

Wins the national title<1%Final Four 1% · projected 18-12

Net rating+23.2Rank 30 of 363 · offence 31, defence 34

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 18-12 (14 to 23 wins)
Projected conference record: 8-10
Wins or shares the conference title: <1%
Wins the conference tournament: 0%
Average seed if in the field: 6.6
A 1 seed: <1%

Makes the field57%
Round of 3240%
Sweet 1612%
Elite Eight3%
Final Four1%
Title game<1%
Champion<1%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result	Pick
Mon 2 Nov	vs San José Staterank 300	Home	100%	103-61	W 81-54	Right
Sat 7 Nov3 PM ET	vs Western Illinoisrank 126	Home	96%	82-58	—
Tue 10 Nov8 PM ET	vs North Carolina A&Trank 232	Home	99%	84-50	—

Rooting guide

Chance of making the NCAA tournament now: 57% · the next 7 days

Sat 7 Nov: vs Western IllinoisA win: 57% · a loss: 55%+2 pts
Tue 10 Nov: vs North Carolina A&TA win: 57% · a loss: 54%+3 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Britt PrinceG	1	32.0	23.0	8.0	4.0	+10.7	+7.6
Edessa NoyanF · transfer from Indiana	1	22.0	4.0	7.0	3.0	+4.9	+2.9
Amiah HargroveF	1	22.0	15.0	9.0	2.0	+9.9	+4.9
Kennadi WilliamsG	1	21.0	3.0	0.0	3.0	+5.4	+2.9
Natalie PottsF	1	20.0	14.0	6.0	1.0	+0.7	+1.1
Ashlyn KoupalF	1	19.0	7.0	3.0	0.0	+0.7	+1.0
Maddi StewartG	1	18.0	2.0	3.0	4.0	+0.7	+1.0
Allison WeidnerG	1	17.0	5.0	0.0	2.0	+0.8	+0.9
Emily FisherG	1	15.0	7.0	3.0	0.0	+5.5	+2.1
Ava MilesG	1	14.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	+0.8	+0.8

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	44.0%rank 263	45.3%rank 277	44.6%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin	23.4%rank 97	26.3%rank 13	23.9%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin	34.0%rank 108	31.4%rank 36	33.4%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin	19.6%rank 272	21.7%rank 301	20.4%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Wins against the pre-game chances: 1.0 won, 1.0 expected (0.0)
Opponents' three-point shooting: −7.8 points a game (they shot 50.0%, league 28.3%)
Opponents' free throws: −1.8 points a game
Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: +24.8
Last season's net rating: +30.7
Last season's minutes returning: 49%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: +2.3
Change since preseason: −1.6

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 104.8 (rank 31)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 81.6 (rank 34)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 74.0 (rank 96)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: −16.7 (rank 235)

Big Ten Conference by rating

18 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Michigan	1-0	0-0	+45.2	116.4	71.2	2
2	Ohio State	2-0	0-0	+40.8	110.4	69.5	4
3	Minnesota	1-0	0-0	+35.8	114.2	78.3	6
4	UCLA	1-0	0-0	+34.3	109.8	75.4	11
5	Illinois	1-0	0-0	+33.3	112.0	78.6	13
6	Iowa	1-0	0-0	+31.9	109.7	77.7	14
7	USC	1-0	0-0	+31.5	109.2	77.8	16
8	Oregon	1-0	0-0	+29.3	107.0	77.7	20
9	Maryland	0-1	0-0	+28.8	111.9	83.1	21
10	Washington	1-0	0-0	+26.6	105.3	78.7	24
11	Michigan State	1-0	0-0	+23.8	104.1	80.3	28
12	Nebraska	1-0	0-0	+23.2	104.8	81.6	30
13	Indiana	1-0	0-0	+18.3	101.9	83.5	42
14	Wisconsin	1-0	0-0	+12.8	102.2	89.4	68
15	Rutgers	2-0	0-0	+9.0	95.9	86.9	84
16	Purdue	1-0	0-0	+5.3	96.4	91.0	100
17	Northwestern	1-0	0-0	+4.3	94.7	90.4	103
18	Penn State	0-1	0-0	+0.8	92.7	91.8	131