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Men'sWomen's

Updated Thu 5 Nov, 6:10 PM ET

Scores, schedules and lines from ESPN; past seasons from sportsdataverse. Not affiliated with any team, league or bookmaker.

Women's projected bracket

The most likely field of 68 from 20,000 simulated seasons. The figure beside each team is how often it made the field.

Updated Thu 5 Nov, 6:10 PM ET

Last four in

At-large place, least often
  1. Texas TechBig 1241%
  2. MiamiACC42%
  3. VillanovaBig East42%
  4. AlabamaSEC44%

First four out

At-large place, next most often
  1. IndianaBig Ten33%
  2. Kansas StateBig 1233%
  3. ClemsonACC32%
  4. VirginiaACC30%

Next four out

At-large place
  1. SyracuseACC28%
  2. GeorgiaSEC26%
  3. ColumbiaIvy25%
  4. Iowa StateBig 1224%

Seed lines

The favourite in each conference takes its automatic bid; seeded by average seed
1
  1. UConnBig East · auto bid100%
  2. South CarolinaSEC · auto bid>99%
  3. MichiganBig Ten · auto bid99%
  4. Ohio StateBig Ten99%
2
  1. LSUSEC99%
  2. UCLABig Ten94%
  3. MinnesotaBig Ten98%
  4. OklahomaSEC98%
3
  1. DukeACC95%
  2. LouisvilleACC · auto bid99%
  3. TexasSEC94%
  4. USCBig Ten90%
4
  1. OregonBig Ten91%
  2. VanderbiltSEC98%
  3. IowaBig Ten88%
  4. NC StateACC89%
5
  1. Notre DameACC87%
  2. Oklahoma StBig 1292%
  3. IllinoisBig Ten95%
  4. KentuckySEC88%
6
  1. North CarolinaACC89%
  2. MarylandBig Ten77%
  3. TCUBig 12 · auto bid94%
  4. West VirginiaBig 1277%
7
  1. TennesseeSEC71%
  2. WashingtonBig Ten71%
  3. Arizona StBig 1279%
  4. BaylorBig 1280%
8
  1. NebraskaBig Ten58%
  2. CaliforniaACC71%
  3. Ole MissSEC66%
  4. ColoradoBig 1264%
9
  1. Texas TechBig 12 · last four in44%
  2. Michigan StBig Ten53%
  3. Mississippi StSEC50%
  4. Virginia TechACC67%
10
  1. VillanovaBig East · last four in44%
  2. BYUBig 1256%
  3. CreightonBig East47%
  4. MiamiACC · last four in43%
11
  1. AlabamaSEC · last four in44%
  2. PrincetonIvy · auto bid72%
  3. GonzagaPac-12 · auto bid66%
  4. Saint Joseph'sAtlantic 10 · auto bid45%
  5. S Dakota StSummit · auto bid67%
  6. RiceAmerican · auto bid53%
12
  1. James MadisonSun Belt · auto bid61%
  2. Santa ClaraWest Coast · auto bid66%
  3. Montana StBig Sky · auto bid68%
  4. Murray StMissouri Valley · auto bid52%
13
  1. FairfieldMetro · auto bid85%
  2. Miami OHMid-American · auto bid39%
  3. Missouri StConference USA · auto bid50%
  4. Green BayHorizon · auto bid57%
14
  1. Abilene ChrstnUnited · auto bid47%
  2. NavyPatriot · auto bid34%
  3. S IndianaOhio Valley · auto bid49%
  4. VermontAmerica East · auto bid44%
15
  1. UNLVMountain West · auto bid25%
  2. UC IrvineBig West · auto bid37%
  3. DrexelCoastal Athletic Association · auto bid22%
  4. SF AustinSouthland · auto bid38%
16
  1. HowardMid-Eastern · auto bid66%
  2. FGCUAtlantic Sun · auto bid40%
  3. ETSUSouthern · auto bid38%
  4. FDUNortheast · auto bid73%
  5. High PointBig South · auto bid43%
  6. Alabama A&MSouthwestern · auto bid32%

Bracket helper

Title favouriteUConn 52%If the tournament started today, on the projected bracket above
Best bracket's championUConnFinal Four: UConn, South Carolina, Michigan, LSU
Expected points1285 of 1,920ESPN scoring, 10 points a first-round pick doubling each round
First-round upsets picked0Games where the best bracket takes the lower seed

East

Chance to reach each round
SeedTeamSweet 16Elite EightTitle gameTitlePicked to reach
1UConn>99%95%65%52%Champion
16FDUFirst Four0%0%0%0%
16High PointFirst Four0%0%0%0%
8Colorado<1%<1%0%0%Second round
9Texas Tech<1%<1%0%0%
5Notre Dame40%2%<1%<1%Second round
12Murray St1%0%0%0%
4NC State58%3%<1%<1%Sweet 16
13Fairfield2%<1%0%0%
6West Virginia7%1%<1%0%Second round
11Alabama5%1%0%0%
3Duke87%41%1%<1%Sweet 16
14Vermont<1%0%0%0%
7Tennessee9%3%<1%0%Second round
10Miami1%<1%0%0%
2Oklahoma90%54%2%1%Elite Eight
15UNLV<1%0%0%0%

West

Chance to reach each round
SeedTeamSweet 16Elite EightTitle gameTitlePicked to reach
1South Carolina97%82%24%16%Final Four
16ETSUFirst Four0%0%0%0%
16Alabama A&MFirst Four0%0%0%0%
8Ole Miss2%1%<1%0%Second round
9Michigan St1%<1%0%0%
5Oklahoma St23%3%<1%<1%Second round
12Montana St1%<1%0%0%
4Iowa76%14%1%<1%Sweet 16
13Miami OH<1%0%0%0%
6TCU16%6%<1%<1%Second round
11Princeton2%<1%0%0%
3Louisville82%44%3%1%Sweet 16
14S Indiana<1%0%0%0%
7Washington12%3%<1%<1%Second round
10Creighton1%<1%0%0%
2Minnesota87%46%3%1%Elite Eight
15UC Irvine<1%0%0%0%

South

Chance to reach each round
SeedTeamSweet 16Elite EightTitle gameTitlePicked to reach
1Michigan98%71%36%14%Title game
16FGCU0%0%0%0%
8California1%<1%<1%0%Second round
9Mississippi St1%<1%0%0%
5Illinois24%5%1%<1%Second round
12Santa Clara<1%<1%0%0%
4Vanderbilt76%23%6%1%Sweet 16
13Missouri St<1%0%0%0%
6Maryland17%6%<1%<1%Second round
11GonzagaFirst Four1%<1%0%0%
11RiceFirst Four<1%<1%0%0%
3Texas82%45%6%1%Sweet 16
14Navy<1%0%0%0%
7Arizona St6%1%<1%0%Second round
10BYU3%<1%0%0%
2UCLA91%47%6%1%Elite Eight
15Drexel<1%0%0%0%

Midwest

Chance to reach each round
SeedTeamSweet 16Elite EightTitle gameTitlePicked to reach
1Ohio State94%72%18%5%Elite Eight
16Howard0%0%0%0%
8Nebraska3%1%<1%0%Second round
9Virginia Tech3%1%<1%0%
5Kentucky32%9%1%<1%Second round
12James Madison1%<1%0%0%
4Oregon66%17%1%<1%Sweet 16
13Green Bay<1%<1%0%0%
6North Carolina25%6%<1%<1%Second round
11Saint Joseph'sFirst Four<1%<1%0%0%
11S Dakota StFirst Four1%<1%0%0%
3USC73%20%2%<1%Sweet 16
14Abilene Chrstn<1%0%0%0%
7Baylor3%1%<1%0%Second round
10Villanova1%<1%0%0%
2LSU96%73%22%6%Final Four
15SF Austin0%0%0%0%

Odds use today's ratings with no allowance for how teams change before March, so the favourites' chances are higher here than on the Projections page, which simulates the rest of the season too. Pool strategy, which picks against what everyone else in your pool is likely to pick, switches on once ESPN publishes the public's picks in March.