Syracuse Orange

Women's · Atlantic Coast Conference · 1-0, 0-0 in conference · last W1

Next: vs Cornell · Sun 8 Nov, 12 PM ET

Cornell4%96%Syracuse

Projected 76-53 · Game page

Makes the tournament29%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 8.5

Wins the national title0%Final Four <1% · projected 18-12

Net rating+15.7Rank 53 of 363 · offence 68, defence 44

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 18-12 (13 to 22 wins)
Projected conference record: 9-9
Wins or shares the conference title: <1%
Wins the conference tournament: 1%
Average seed if in the field: 8.5
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field29%
Round of 3213%
Sweet 161%
Elite Eight<1%
Final Four<1%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result	Pick
Tue 3 Nov	vs Sacred Heartrank 291	Home	98%	81-52	W 75-48	Right
Sun 8 Nov12 PM ET	vs Cornellrank 200	Home	96%	76-53	—
Wed 11 Nov6 PM ET	vs Sienarank 226	Home	98%	83-56	—

Rooting guide

Chance of making the NCAA tournament now: 29% · the next 7 days

Sun 8 Nov: vs CornellA win: 29% · a loss: 27%+2 pts
Wed 11 Nov: vs SienaA win: 29% · a loss: 30%0 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Uche IzojeC	1	24.0	16.0	14.0	2.0	+9.1	+5.0
Emely RodriguezG · transfer from Iowa	1	21.0	13.0	4.0	1.0	+4.2	+2.5
Tyi SkinnerG · transfer from SMU	1	20.0	11.0	1.0	5.0	+0.5	+1.0
Jaleesa MolinaF · transfer from Temple	1	18.0	9.0	6.0	1.0	+3.4	+1.8
Keira ScottF	1	18.0	2.0	3.0	0.0	+2.9	+1.7
Shy HawkinsG	1	17.0	3.0	7.0	0.0	+3.9	+1.9
Angelica VelezG	1	16.0	0.0	2.0	2.0	+2.4	+1.4
Sarah RambusF · transfer from Oregon	1	15.0	12.0	3.0	0.0	+5.2	+2.0
Celaine RiccoF	1	15.0	6.0	3.0	3.0	−0.6	+0.4
Olivia SchmittG	1	13.0	3.0	1.0	0.0	+2.9	+1.2
Madison HowardG	1	13.0	0.0	1.0	1.0	−0.6	+0.4
Elif CayirG	1	7.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	−0.4	+0.2
Destiny RobinsonF	1	3.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	−0.3	+0.1

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	43.0%rank 335	43.5%rank 54	44.7%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin	23.2%rank 83	25.8%rank 18	23.8%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin	35.9%rank 19	35.0%rank 312	33.5%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin	17.6%rank 358	21.1%rank 272	20.5%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Wins against the pre-game chances: 1.0 won, 1.0 expected (0.0)
Opponents' three-point shooting: −1.8 points a game (they shot 31.6%, league 28.5%)
Opponents' free throws: −1.8 points a game
Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: +14.2
Last season's net rating: +22.7
Last season's minutes returning: 35%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: +2.3
Change since preseason: +1.5

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 98.8 (rank 68)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 83.1 (rank 44)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 74.3 (rank 72)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: −15.5 (rank 221)

Atlantic Coast Conference by rating

18 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Louisville	2-0	0-0	+35.8	111.3	75.5	8
2	Duke	1-0	0-0	+33.5	108.5	75.0	12
3	Notre Dame	1-0	0-0	+29.6	111.6	82.0	18
4	North Carolina	0-1	0-0	+29.4	107.6	78.2	19
5	NC State	2-0	0-0	+28.3	107.5	79.3	23
6	Virginia Tech	2-0	0-0	+22.9	103.6	80.7	31
7	California	1-0	0-0	+22.4	103.6	81.2	32
8	Miami	1-0	0-0	+18.9	102.4	83.4	40
9	Virginia	1-0	0-0	+17.0	101.2	84.3	47
10	Syracuse	1-0	0-0	+15.7	98.8	83.1	53
11	Clemson	1-0	0-0	+15.6	100.7	85.0	54
12	Stanford	1-1	0-0	+14.3	100.3	85.9	62
13	Florida State	2-0	0-0	+12.7	99.9	87.2	68
14	Georgia Tech	1-0	0-0	+12.3	97.8	85.5	71
15	SMU	2-0	0-0	+2.7	89.5	86.8	114
16	Wake Forest	1-0	0-0	+0.8	90.8	90.0	133
17	Pittsburgh	1-0	0-0	−1.9	91.2	93.1	158
18	Boston College	0-1	0-0	−4.8	89.5	94.3	188