Pittsburgh Panthers

Women's · Atlantic Coast Conference · 1-0, 0-0 in conference · last W1

Next: vs Long Island · Sat 7 Nov, 2 PM ET

Long Island3%97%Pitt

Projected 80-55 · Game page

Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons

Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 11-17

Net rating−1.9Rank 157 of 363 · offence 145, defence 186

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 11-17 (8 to 14 wins)
Projected conference record: 3-15
Wins or shares the conference title: 0%
Wins the conference tournament: 0%
Average seed if in the field: —
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field<1%
Round of 32<1%
Sweet 160%
Elite Eight0%
Final Four0%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result	Pick
Tue 3 Nov	vs Saint Peter'srank 350	Home	93%	74-53	W 81-52	Right
Sat 7 Nov2 PM ET	vs Long Island Universityrank 346	Home	97%	80-55	—
Tue 10 Nov7 PM ET	vs Delaware Staterank 354	Home	98%	78-52	—

Rooting guide

Chance of the conference title now: 0% · the next 7 days

Sat 7 Nov: vs Long Island UniversityA win: 0% · a loss: 0%0 pts
Tue 10 Nov: vs Delaware StateA win: 0% · a loss: 0%0 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Taryn BarbotG · transfer from Charleston	1	40.0	25.0	3.0	4.0	+2.7	+3.6
Taylor BarbotG · transfer from Charleston	1	37.0	6.0	4.0	7.0	+0.2	+1.6
Meredith VennerC	1	28.0	22.0	9.0	0.0	−3.0	−0.5
Maysen HillG · transfer from Fordham	1	26.0	11.0	5.0	1.0	−4.7	−1.2
Alancia RamseyF · transfer from Alabama	1	25.0	6.0	7.0	0.0	+3.4	+2.6
Jamisen HillG · transfer from Charleston	1	16.0	2.0	3.0	0.0	−0.7	+0.4
Ande'a CherisierC · transfer from Delaware	1	12.0	6.0	4.0	0.0	+0.1	+0.5
Macie ArznerG	1	10.0	2.0	3.0	0.0	−4.6	−0.5
Jazmyne BynumG	1	3.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	−2.5	0.0
Madison CrawfordG	1	3.0	1.0	1.0	0.0	−2.5	0.0

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	43.7%rank 275	45.0%rank 247	44.6%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin	22.3%rank 29	25.4%rank 35	23.9%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin	34.3%rank 88	34.6%rank 296	33.4%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin	20.8%rank 118	18.5%rank 33	20.4%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Wins against the pre-game chances: 1.0 won, 0.9 expected (+0.1)
Opponents' three-point shooting: +7.0 points a game (they shot 19.2%, league 28.3%)
Opponents' free throws: +1.1 points a game
Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: −4.9
Last season's net rating: −10.9
Last season's minutes returning: 1%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: +3.5
Change since preseason: +3.0

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 90.9 (rank 145)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 92.9 (rank 186)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 73.8 (rank 115)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: −26.2 (rank 272)

Atlantic Coast Conference by rating

18 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Louisville	2-0	0-0	+35.8	111.1	75.3	7
2	Duke	1-0	0-0	+33.4	108.2	74.8	12
3	Notre Dame	1-0	0-0	+29.6	111.3	81.7	18
4	North Carolina	0-1	0-0	+29.4	107.4	78.0	19
5	NC State	2-0	0-0	+28.2	107.3	79.1	23
6	Virginia Tech	2-0	0-0	+22.8	103.3	80.5	31
7	California	1-0	0-0	+22.4	103.3	80.9	32
8	Miami	1-0	0-0	+18.9	102.1	83.2	40
9	Virginia	1-0	0-0	+16.9	101.0	84.1	49
10	Syracuse	1-0	0-0	+15.7	98.6	82.9	54
11	Clemson	1-0	0-0	+15.6	100.4	84.8	55
12	Stanford	1-1	0-0	+14.3	100.0	85.7	63
13	Georgia Tech	1-0	0-0	+12.3	97.5	85.3	71
14	Florida State	2-0	0-0	+12.1	100.2	88.1	72
15	SMU	2-0	0-0	+2.7	89.2	86.6	114
16	Wake Forest	2-0	0-0	+0.4	91.8	91.4	139
17	Pittsburgh	1-0	0-0	−1.9	90.9	92.9	157
18	Boston College	0-1	0-0	−5.8	89.2	94.9	190