Probable StatsCollege basketball, rated
Menu
Sign in to make your calls

Updated Thu 5 Nov, 6:10 PM ET

Scores, schedules and lines from ESPN; past seasons from sportsdataverse. Not affiliated with any team, league or bookmaker.

Saint Peter's Peacocks

Women's · Metro Conference · 0-1, 0-0 in conference · last L1

Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 8-23
Net rating−26.3Rank 350 of 363 · offence 341, defence 355

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons
Projected record
8-23 (3 to 13 wins)
Projected conference record
6-14
Wins or shares the conference title
0%
Wins the conference tournament
<1%
Average seed if in the field
—
A 1 seed
0%
  1. Makes the field<1%
  2. Round of 320%
  3. Sweet 160%
  4. Elite Eight0%
  5. Final Four0%
  6. Title game0%
  7. Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game
DateOpponentWhereWin chanceProjectedResultPick
Tue 3 Novat Pittsburghrank 159Away7%53-74L 52-81Right
Sun 8 Nov2 PM ETat Georgetownrank 91Away1%47-80—
Thu 12 Nov7 PM ETat Miamirank 40Away0%45-87—

Rooting guide

Chance of the conference title now: 0% · the next 7 days
  1. Sun 8 Nov: at GeorgetownA win: 0% · a loss: <1%0 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement
PlayerGamesMinutesPointsReboundsAssistsRatingValue
Sierra PatricioG135.06.04.00.0−6.9−3.0
Carys RoyC131.018.07.01.0−3.9−1.0
Ineivi PlataG · transfer from FAU131.02.05.03.0−5.7−2.0
Ebere EgbirikaG · transfer from Stony Brook123.09.05.04.0−5.9−1.5
Aniyah NealG · transfer from Quinnipiac123.02.04.00.0−3.4−0.5
Nikola ZdenkovaG116.03.01.03.0−6.6−1.3
Jada MillsG114.06.03.02.0−6.7−1.1
Lamaria EstridgeF111.04.00.01.0−3.1−0.2
Eszter TuriG19.00.02.00.0−4.9−0.5
Sophie StauntonG15.00.00.00.0−2.9−0.1
Bree RileyG · transfer from Abilene Chrstn11.02.00.00.0−2.90.0
Soreya YilmazG11.00.00.01.0−2.80.0

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

OffenceDefenceLeague
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin45.1%rank 10843.8%rank 7944.7%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin25.3%rank 33322.2%rank 33823.8%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin34.7%rank 6734.4%rank 28133.5%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin18.5%rank 33620.8%rank 25520.5%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Wins against the pre-game chances
0.0 won, 0.1 expected (−0.1)
Opponents' three-point shooting
+5.5 points a game (they shot 20.8%, league 28.4%)
Opponents' free throws
+0.3 points a game
Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team
−30−20−100+101 NovNow−26.3−30−20−100+101 NovNow−26.3
Preseason net rating
−23.3
Last season's net rating
−26.2
Last season's minutes returning
38%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes
−1.0
Change since preseason
−3.0
Offence, points per 100 possessions
76.8 (rank 341)
Defence, points allowed per 100
103.1 (rank 355)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
71.6 (rank 330)
Schedule so far, opponents' average
−1.9 (rank 140)

Metro Conference by rating

13 teams
#TeamRecordConferenceNetOffenceDefenceNational rank
1Fairfield0-00-0+15.4101.385.955
2Quinnipiac1-00-0−1.989.991.8160
3Siena1-00-0−9.386.695.9226
4Sacred Heart0-10-0−15.679.995.5291
5Marist0-10-0−15.682.898.4292
6Manhattan1-00-0−16.180.796.7294
7Merrimack0-10-0−16.578.795.2297
8Mount St. Mary's0-10-0−18.180.098.1311
9Rider0-10-0−19.475.595.0320
10Iona1-10-0−19.683.7103.2323
11Canisius0-00-0−21.178.199.1332
12Saint Peter's0-10-0−26.376.8103.1350
13Niagara0-10-0−30.969.9100.9359