Canisius Golden Griffins
Next: at New Hampshire · Thu 5 Nov, 6 PM ETProjected 55-67 · Game page
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 11-23
Net rating−21.1Rank 332 of 363 · offence 334, defence 313
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 11-23 (4 to 18 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 8-12
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- <1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 5 Nov6 PM ET | at New Hampshirerank 263 | Away | 20% | 55-67 | Live | |
| Sun 8 Nov12 PM ET | vs UMass Lowellrank 338 | Home | 65% | 64-59 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 5 Nov: at New HampshireA win: 0% · a loss: <1%0 pts
- Sun 8 Nov: vs UMass LowellA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.7%rank 137 | 44.7%rank 132 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.8%rank 144 | 23.8%rank 126 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.5%rank 137 | 33.5%rank 135 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.5%rank 127 | 20.5%rank 140 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −21.1
- Last season's net rating
- −24.1
- Last season's minutes returning
- 60%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −1.3
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 78.1 (rank 334)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 99.1 (rank 313)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.6 (rank 250)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Metro Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fairfield | 0-0 | 0-0 | +15.4 | 101.3 | 85.9 | 55 |
| 2 | Quinnipiac | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.9 | 89.9 | 91.8 | 160 |
| 3 | Siena | 1-0 | 0-0 | −9.3 | 86.6 | 95.9 | 226 |
| 4 | Sacred Heart | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.6 | 79.9 | 95.5 | 291 |
| 5 | Marist | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.6 | 82.8 | 98.4 | 292 |
| 6 | Manhattan | 1-0 | 0-0 | −16.1 | 80.7 | 96.7 | 294 |
| 7 | Merrimack | 0-1 | 0-0 | −16.5 | 78.7 | 95.2 | 297 |
| 8 | Mount St. Mary's | 0-1 | 0-0 | −18.1 | 80.0 | 98.1 | 311 |
| 9 | Rider | 0-1 | 0-0 | −19.4 | 75.5 | 95.0 | 320 |
| 10 | Iona | 1-1 | 0-0 | −19.6 | 83.7 | 103.2 | 323 |
| 11 | Canisius | 0-0 | 0-0 | −21.1 | 78.1 | 99.1 | 332 |
| 12 | Saint Peter's | 0-1 | 0-0 | −26.3 | 76.8 | 103.1 | 350 |
| 13 | Niagara | 0-1 | 0-0 | −30.9 | 69.9 | 100.9 | 359 |