New Hampshire Wildcats
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.8
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 12-21
Net rating−15.6Rank 292 of 363 · offence 301, defence 255
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 12-21 (7 to 17 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 4-12
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.8
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
Rooting guide
- Sun 8 Nov: at NiagaraA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: at DartmouthA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maggie CavanaughG | 2 | 31.5 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | −2.9 | −0.4 |
| Maya Braxton-YoungG | 2 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 | −2.7 | −0.3 |
| Erin EdmondsG · transfer from Mount St Marys | 2 | 26.0 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −4.5 | −1.1 |
| Carolina WilliamsG | 2 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | −4.8 | −1.2 |
| Anya McKenzieF · transfer from West Georgia | 2 | 20.0 | 8.5 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −1.6 | +0.2 |
| Ella GetzF | 2 | 18.0 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | −2.3 | 0.0 |
| Kassidy ThompsonG | 2 | 16.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | −3.1 | −0.3 |
| Alia CordoneF | 2 | 11.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | −3.5 | −0.3 |
| Averie HardingF | 2 | 11.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | −3.0 | −0.2 |
| Scarlet LeVakeF | 1 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −1.6 | +0.1 |
| Charlotte JasminG | 1 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −1.6 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 42.8%rank 332 | 44.3%rank 118 | 44.6% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.9%rank 151 | 24.2%rank 109 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 31.6%rank 320 | 34.5%rank 284 | 33.4% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 19.8%rank 248 | 22.0%rank 317 | 20.4% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.8 expected (−0.8)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +0.7 points a game (they shot 26.7%, league 28.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −1.8 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- 0-1
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −12.6
- Last season's net rating
- −12.9
- Last season's minutes returning
- 46%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.8
- Change since preseason
- −3.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 80.2 (rank 301)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 95.7 (rank 255)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.1 (rank 344)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −18.1 (rank 242)
America East Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vermont | 1-0 | 0-0 | +6.2 | 94.2 | 88.0 | 95 |
| 2 | NJIT | 2-0 | 0-0 | −2.5 | 85.4 | 88.0 | 165 |
| 3 | UMBC | 2-0 | 0-0 | −3.1 | 87.5 | 90.7 | 176 |
| 4 | Bryant | 2-0 | 0-0 | −5.7 | 87.2 | 92.9 | 189 |
| 5 | UAlbany | 2-0 | 0-0 | −5.9 | 86.0 | 91.8 | 191 |
| 6 | Binghamton | 0-1 | 0-0 | −7.0 | 86.2 | 93.3 | 203 |
| 7 | Maine | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.2 | 87.7 | 94.9 | 206 |
| 8 | New Hampshire | 1-1 | 0-0 | −15.6 | 80.2 | 95.7 | 292 |
| 9 | UMass Lowell | 2-0 | 0-0 | −16.4 | 82.0 | 98.3 | 296 |