Binghamton Bearcats
Makes the tournament6%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.3
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 14-19
Net rating−7.0Rank 203 of 363 · offence 219, defence 194
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 14-19 (8 to 20 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 8-8
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 6%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 6%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.3
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field6%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: at FairfieldA win: 7% · a loss: 6%+1 pts
- Sun 8 Nov: at SienaA win: 6% · a loss: 6%+1 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: at ColgateA win: 6% · a loss: 6%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella PucciG | 1 | 35.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | +0.3 | +1.5 |
| Kendall BennettF | 1 | 34.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | +3.1 | +3.2 |
| Yanniah BoydG | 1 | 32.0 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | −3.5 | −0.8 |
| Cam GaudreauG | 1 | 20.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −3.2 | −0.4 |
| Carletta BennettG | 1 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −1.9 | +0.1 |
| Ashley ReddG | 1 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | −2.7 | −0.2 |
| Kameryn DorseyG | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −3.0 | −0.2 |
| Sophie Elzina RenéF | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −3.0 | −0.1 |
| Emma HákonardóttirG · transfer from UAlbany | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.6 | −0.2 |
| Daysha SalgadoF | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.6 | −0.2 |
| Abby MisierC | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.8 | 0.0 |
| Klarissa GoodeG | 1 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −3.5 | −0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 41.5%rank 358 | 43.1%rank 47 | 44.6% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 25.0%rank 309 | 24.6%rank 68 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 35.4%rank 37 | 32.9%rank 107 | 33.4% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 22.6%rank 29 | 22.1%rank 319 | 20.4% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.5 expected (−0.5)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +5.8 points a game (they shot 19.1%, league 28.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −2.7 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −1.6
- Last season's net rating
- +0.4
- Last season's minutes returning
- 63%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- 0.0
- Change since preseason
- −5.4
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 86.2 (rank 219)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 93.3 (rank 194)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.6 (rank 321)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −1.6 (rank 137)
America East Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vermont | 1-0 | 0-0 | +6.2 | 94.2 | 88.0 | 95 |
| 2 | NJIT | 2-0 | 0-0 | −2.5 | 85.4 | 88.0 | 165 |
| 3 | UMBC | 2-0 | 0-0 | −3.1 | 87.5 | 90.7 | 176 |
| 4 | Bryant | 2-0 | 0-0 | −5.7 | 87.2 | 92.9 | 189 |
| 5 | UAlbany | 2-0 | 0-0 | −5.9 | 86.0 | 91.8 | 191 |
| 6 | Binghamton | 0-1 | 0-0 | −7.0 | 86.2 | 93.3 | 203 |
| 7 | Maine | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.2 | 87.7 | 94.9 | 206 |
| 8 | New Hampshire | 1-1 | 0-0 | −15.6 | 80.2 | 95.7 | 292 |
| 9 | UMass Lowell | 2-0 | 0-0 | −16.4 | 82.0 | 98.3 | 296 |