Colgate Raiders

Women's · Patriot League · 1-0, 0-0 in conference · last W1

Next: vs Binghamton · Wed 11 Nov, 6 PM ET

Binghamton55%45%Colgate

Projected 61-63 · Game page

Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons

Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 13-18

Net rating−14.7Rank 286 of 363 · offence 291, defence 278

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 13-18 (7 to 19 wins)
Projected conference record: 6-12
Wins or shares the conference title: <1%
Wins the conference tournament: 1%
Average seed if in the field: —
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field1%
Round of 320%
Sweet 160%
Elite Eight0%
Final Four0%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result	Pick
Tue 3 Nov	vs SUNY Morrisvillenot Division I	Home	—	—	W 91-61
Wed 11 Nov6 PM ET	vs Binghamtonrank 204	Home	45%	61-63	—

Rooting guide

Chance of the conference title now: <1% · the next 7 days

Wed 11 Nov: vs BinghamtonA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Ella MeabonG	1	35.0	16.0	15.0	9.0	−1.9	+0.1
Ella MahaffeyG	1	32.0	17.0	2.0	2.0	−5.1	−1.7
Laila HankersonPG	1	26.0	13.0	6.0	4.0	−4.8	−1.2
Kaila FrancisF	1	25.0	12.0	10.0	2.0	−1.4	+0.3
Amarah StreiffG	1	23.0	8.0	4.0	2.0	−4.3	−0.9
Fleur GamalG	1	17.0	12.0	3.0	0.0	−1.3	+0.3
Molly CorcoranPG	1	15.0	5.0	4.0	6.0	−1.3	+0.2
Mia BrockmeyerG	1	14.0	3.0	1.0	2.0	−1.3	+0.2
Ellie CroninG	1	5.0	2.0	2.0	0.0	−3.7	−0.1
Taye MatthewsG	1	4.0	3.0	3.0	0.0	−1.6	0.0
Maryan EniafeF	1	2.0	0.0	2.0	0.0	−3.9	−0.1
Kennedy ParrottG	1	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	−3.8	0.0
TMaea EteuatiG	1	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	−0.9	0.0

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	44.7%rank 137	44.7%rank 132	44.7%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin	23.8%rank 144	23.8%rank 126	23.8%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin	33.5%rank 137	33.5%rank 133	33.5%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin	20.5%rank 127	20.5%rank 139	20.5%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: −14.7
Last season's net rating: −21.3
Last season's minutes returning: 46%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: 0.0
Change since preseason: 0.0

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 82.2 (rank 291)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 97.0 (rank 278)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 71.9 (rank 314)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: —

Patriot League by rating

10 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Navy	1-0	0-0	+5.2	93.6	88.4	101
2	Army	1-0	0-0	+4.2	94.1	89.9	105
3	Lehigh	0-1	0-0	+1.8	92.1	90.2	121
4	Holy Cross	1-0	0-0	+0.2	87.7	87.5	141
5	Boston University	0-1	0-0	−12.2	84.2	96.4	256
6	Bucknell	0-1	0-0	−12.4	84.8	97.3	262
7	Loyola Maryland	1-0	0-0	−12.8	83.4	96.3	266
8	Colgate	1-0	0-0	−14.7	82.2	97.0	286
9	Lafayette	0-1	0-0	−17.1	83.8	101.0	303
10	American University	0-0	0-0	−19.9	80.4	100.3	326