Loyola Maryland Greyhounds

Women's · Patriot League · 1-0, 0-0 in conference · last W1

Next: at La Salle · Sat 7 Nov, 12 PM ET

Loyola MD18%82%La Salle

Projected 57-70 · Game page

Makes the tournament2%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.8

Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 12-18

Net rating−12.8Rank 266 of 363 · offence 269, defence 263

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 12-18 (6 to 18 wins)
Projected conference record: 7-11
Wins or shares the conference title: 1%
Wins the conference tournament: 2%
Average seed if in the field: 14.8
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field2%
Round of 32<1%
Sweet 160%
Elite Eight0%
Final Four0%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result
Mon 2 Nov	vs Notre Dame (MD)not Division I	Home	—	—	W 76-30
Sat 7 Nov12 PM ET	at La Sallerank 167	Away	18%	57-70	—
Tue 10 Nov7 PM ET	vs Yalerank 218	Home	53%	63-62	—

Rooting guide

Chance of the conference title now: 1% · the next 7 days

Sat 7 Nov: at La SalleA win: <1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
Tue 10 Nov: vs YaleA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Takeira RameyG · transfer from Texas St	1	30.0	10.0	4.0	1.0	−3.9	−0.9
Olivia ShaughnessyG	1	24.0	10.0	5.0	2.0	−2.1	0.0
Debra Wilson-OsuideG	1	22.0	2.0	1.0	3.0	−1.4	+0.3
Amandine AmorichF	1	21.0	11.0	8.0	2.0	−2.1	0.0
Aidan LangleyG · transfer from Towson	1	20.0	11.0	3.0	0.0	−2.7	−0.2
Kailey KaletG	1	19.0	2.0	1.0	3.0	−4.8	−0.9
Avery SimmonsF	1	17.0	6.0	8.0	1.0	−4.2	−0.6
Tyler EdwardsF · transfer from FDU	1	16.0	12.0	6.0	2.0	−1.0	+0.3
Sydney BassF	1	12.0	3.0	0.0	0.0	−1.8	+0.1
Talia ShumateG	1	10.0	6.0	3.0	0.0	−1.0	+0.2
Ava KopetskieG	1	9.0	3.0	2.0	1.0	−1.0	+0.2

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	44.7%rank 148	44.7%rank 141	44.7%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin	23.9%rank 167	23.9%rank 138	23.9%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin	33.3%rank 147	33.3%rank 147	33.3%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin	20.8%rank 147	20.8%rank 154	20.8%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: −12.8
Last season's net rating: −12.2
Last season's minutes returning: 52%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: −0.3
Change since preseason: 0.0

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 83.3 (rank 269)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 96.2 (rank 263)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 70.6 (rank 354)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: —

Patriot League by rating

10 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Army	2-0	0-0	+7.4	96.1	88.8	90
2	Navy	1-0	0-0	+4.6	93.1	88.5	101
3	Lehigh	0-1	0-0	+1.8	92.0	90.2	123
4	Holy Cross	2-0	0-0	−3.3	84.2	87.5	178
5	Boston University	0-1	0-0	−11.5	84.8	96.3	246
6	Bucknell	0-1	0-0	−12.5	84.8	97.2	263
7	Loyola Maryland	1-0	0-0	−12.8	83.3	96.2	266
8	Colgate	1-0	0-0	−14.7	82.2	96.9	287
9	American University	0-1	0-0	−16.8	84.5	101.3	301
10	Lafayette	0-1	0-0	−17.2	83.7	100.9	306