Lehigh Mountain Hawks
Makes the tournament21%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 13.8
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 19-11
Net rating+1.8Rank 121 of 363 · offence 128, defence 122
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 19-11 (14 to 25 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 13-5
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 23%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 20%
- Average seed if in the field
- 13.8
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field21%
- Round of 321%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at UCLArank 11 | Away | 1% | 64-97 | L 53-73 | Right |
| Fri 6 Nov6 PM ET | at Monmouthrank 153 | Away | 44% | 61-63 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov6 PM ET | vs Mount St. Mary'srank 311 | Home | 95% | 76-55 | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: at MonmouthA win: 21% · a loss: 21%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: vs Mount St. Mary'sA win: 21% · a loss: 20%+1 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leia EdwardsG | 1 | 37.0 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | +2.6 | +3.2 |
| Gracyn LovetteG | 1 | 33.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | +0.2 | +1.4 |
| Olivia FlemingG | 1 | 30.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.2 | +0.5 |
| Ryann JenningsG | 1 | 30.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | −1.2 | +0.5 |
| Belle BramerG | 1 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | +3.2 | +2.3 |
| Keshia VitalicioG | 1 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −0.8 | +0.4 |
| Olivia JohnstonF | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.8 | +0.3 |
| Alana ReddyG | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.2 | +0.1 |
| Whitney LindF | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | +2.8 | +0.4 |
| Myrto LianoudiG | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.8 | −0.1 |
| Mia WashingtonG | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.5 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 45.7%rank 62 | 45.2%rank 259 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 24.1%rank 262 | 23.9%rank 111 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 30.9%rank 348 | 33.6%rank 230 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.4%rank 226 | 18.3%rank 19 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- 0.0 points a game (they shot 28.6%, league 28.5%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +1.1 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- +0.4
- Last season's net rating
- −2.5
- Last season's minutes returning
- 75%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- 0.0
- Change since preseason
- +1.4
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 92.1 (rank 128)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 90.2 (rank 122)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.3 (rank 278)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +34.4 (rank 9)
Patriot League by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Navy | 1-0 | 0-0 | +5.2 | 93.6 | 88.4 | 101 |
| 2 | Army | 1-0 | 0-0 | +4.2 | 94.1 | 89.9 | 105 |
| 3 | Lehigh | 0-1 | 0-0 | +1.8 | 92.1 | 90.2 | 121 |
| 4 | Holy Cross | 1-0 | 0-0 | +0.2 | 87.7 | 87.5 | 141 |
| 5 | Boston University | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.2 | 84.2 | 96.4 | 256 |
| 6 | Bucknell | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.4 | 84.8 | 97.3 | 262 |
| 7 | Loyola Maryland | 1-0 | 0-0 | −12.8 | 83.4 | 96.3 | 266 |
| 8 | Colgate | 1-0 | 0-0 | −14.7 | 82.2 | 97.0 | 286 |
| 9 | Lafayette | 0-1 | 0-0 | −17.1 | 83.8 | 101.0 | 303 |
| 10 | American University | 0-0 | 0-0 | −19.9 | 80.4 | 100.3 | 326 |