La Salle Explorers
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 12.8
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 13-16
Net rating−2.7Rank 168 of 363 · offence 176, defence 155
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 13-16 (8 to 18 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 7-11
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- 12.8
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 4 Nov | at Rutgersrank 83 | Away | 9% | 57-75 | L 62-75 | Right |
| Sat 7 Nov12 PM ET | vs Loyola Marylandrank 266 | Home | 83% | 70-57 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov6:30 PM ET | vs Templerank 129 | Home | 54% | 70-69 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: vs Loyola MarylandA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: vs TempleA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivien NejasmicG · transfer from Xavier | 1 | 36.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | −1.2 | +0.7 |
| Joanie QuinnG | 1 | 34.0 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | +0.8 | +1.9 |
| Tiana ThompsonG | 1 | 27.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | −1.4 | +0.4 |
| Kiara WilliamsF | 1 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | +1.3 | +1.3 |
| Lauren PatnodeG | 1 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.9 | +0.1 |
| Amiya MosesF | 1 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.8 |
| Emilia ColemanG | 1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −1.2 | +0.3 |
| Olivia OstoniG | 1 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.0 | +0.2 |
| Zynaye HenryG | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.0 | +0.2 |
| Sophi HutchisonG | 1 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −0.8 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.0%rank 275 | 44.8%rank 227 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 22.6%rank 45 | 24.6%rank 57 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 34.2%rank 92 | 34.0%rank 256 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 22.2%rank 34 | 19.4%rank 82 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.1 expected (−0.1)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −0.5 points a game (they shot 29.4%, league 28.5%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +1.6 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −4.7
- Last season's net rating
- +0.6
- Last season's minutes returning
- 43%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.3
- Change since preseason
- +2.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 89.1 (rank 176)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 91.8 (rank 155)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 74.1 (rank 90)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +9.0 (rank 80)
Atlantic 10 Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Joseph's | 0-0 | 0-0 | +15.2 | 100.6 | 85.3 | 60 |
| 2 | Richmond | 1-0 | 0-0 | +13.8 | 102.0 | 88.2 | 64 |
| 3 | Davidson | 0-1 | 0-0 | +13.3 | 99.0 | 85.7 | 66 |
| 4 | Rhode Island | 0-1 | 0-0 | +9.7 | 96.2 | 86.6 | 79 |
| 5 | George Mason | 1-0 | 0-0 | +8.4 | 97.0 | 88.5 | 86 |
| 6 | George Washington | 1-0 | 0-0 | +0.6 | 91.7 | 91.1 | 135 |
| 7 | Dayton | 0-0 | 0-0 | −0.6 | 91.7 | 92.3 | 145 |
| 8 | VCU | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.2 | 86.8 | 89.0 | 166 |
| 9 | La Salle | 0-1 | 0-0 | −2.7 | 89.1 | 91.8 | 168 |
| 10 | Fordham | 2-0 | 0-0 | −3.0 | 86.4 | 89.4 | 174 |
| 11 | Saint Louis | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.2 | 89.4 | 95.7 | 199 |
| 12 | St. Bonaventure | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.2 | 86.8 | 94.0 | 206 |
| 13 | Duquesne | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.7 | 87.2 | 95.8 | 218 |
| 14 | Loyola Chicago | 1-0 | 0-0 | −10.5 | 86.3 | 96.7 | 235 |