Saint Joseph's Hawks
Next: vs Kutztown · Sat 7 Nov, 1 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament47%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 10.1
Wins the national title0%Final Four <1% · projected 22-7
Net rating+15.2Rank 60 of 363 · offence 56, defence 56
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 22-7 (16 to 27 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 15-3
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 45%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 28%
- Average seed if in the field
- 10.1
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field47%
- Round of 3216%
- Sweet 161%
- Elite Eight<1%
- Final Four<1%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 7 Nov1 PM ET | vs Kutztownnot Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov6:30 PM ET | at Cincinnatirank 100 | Away | 60% | 70-67 | — |
Rooting guide
- Wed 11 Nov: at CincinnatiA win: 50% · a loss: 44%+6 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.6%rank 139 | 44.6%rank 134 | 44.6% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.9%rank 151 | 23.9%rank 128 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.5%rank 140 | 33.5%rank 137 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.4%rank 137 | 20.4%rank 144 | 20.4% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- +15.2
- Last season's net rating
- +10.8
- Last season's minutes returning
- 80%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +0.7
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 100.4 (rank 56)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 85.2 (rank 56)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.9 (rank 298)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Atlantic 10 Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Joseph's | 0-0 | 0-0 | +15.2 | 100.4 | 85.2 | 60 |
| 2 | Richmond | 1-0 | 0-0 | +13.5 | 102.1 | 88.6 | 65 |
| 3 | Davidson | 0-1 | 0-0 | +13.3 | 98.9 | 85.6 | 66 |
| 4 | Rhode Island | 0-1 | 0-0 | +9.7 | 96.1 | 86.4 | 79 |
| 5 | George Mason | 1-0 | 0-0 | +8.4 | 96.8 | 88.4 | 86 |
| 6 | George Washington | 1-0 | 0-0 | +0.6 | 91.5 | 90.9 | 135 |
| 7 | Dayton | 0-0 | 0-0 | −0.6 | 91.5 | 92.1 | 145 |
| 8 | VCU | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.6 | 86.4 | 89.0 | 167 |
| 9 | La Salle | 0-1 | 0-0 | −2.7 | 89.0 | 91.7 | 168 |
| 10 | Fordham | 2-0 | 0-0 | −4.2 | 85.4 | 89.6 | 185 |
| 11 | Saint Louis | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.2 | 89.3 | 95.5 | 196 |
| 12 | St. Bonaventure | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.2 | 86.6 | 93.8 | 206 |
| 13 | Duquesne | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.7 | 87.0 | 95.7 | 219 |
| 14 | Loyola Chicago | 1-0 | 0-0 | −10.5 | 86.1 | 96.6 | 236 |