Rhode Island Rams
Makes the tournament21%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 11.5
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 22-11
Net rating+9.1Rank 83 of 363 · offence 90, defence 76
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 22-11 (17 to 27 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 13-5
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 15%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 13%
- Average seed if in the field
- 11.5
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field21%
- Round of 324%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight<1%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | at West Virginiarank 35 | Away | 7% | 57-78 | L 64-68 | Right |
| Fri 6 Nov6 PM ET | vs Columbiarank 47 | Neutral | 31% | 64-70 | — | |
| Sun 8 Nov1 PM ET | vs South Floridarank 73 | Neutral | 46% | 67-68 | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov7 PM ET | at Wagnerrank 355 | Away | 97% | 76-48 | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: vs ColumbiaA win: 26% · a loss: 19%+7 pts
- Sun 8 Nov: vs South FloridaA win: 23% · a loss: 19%+4 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: at WagnerA win: 21% · a loss: 21%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia VitalG | 1 | 39.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | +4.5 | +4.6 |
| Delanie HillG · transfer from UAlbany | 1 | 34.0 | 26.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | +2.5 | +2.8 |
| Martina BorrellasG · transfer from UAlbany | 1 | 27.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | +1.0 | +1.5 |
| Amaya StewartF · transfer from UAlbany | 1 | 26.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | +3.0 | +2.4 |
| Alex NewsonG | 1 | 25.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −1.0 | +0.5 |
| Queen IkhiuwuF · transfer from Wofford | 1 | 24.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | +1.9 | +1.7 |
| Amori JarrettG | 1 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −1.0 | +0.5 |
| Lauren BousquetF | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −0.4 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 46.3%rank 47 | 43.7%rank 83 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 24.1%rank 253 | 24.4%rank 97 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 34.6%rank 71 | 34.2%rank 271 | 33.3% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 19.5%rank 289 | 21.6%rank 274 | 20.8% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.1 expected (−0.1)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −2.1 points a game (they shot 33.3%, league 28.6%)
- Opponents' free throws
- 0.0 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- 0-1
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- +7.0
- Last season's net rating
- +20.7
- Last season's minutes returning
- 16%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −2.0
- Change since preseason
- +2.1
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 96.0 (rank 90)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 86.9 (rank 76)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.0 (rank 347)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +21.4 (rank 35)
Atlantic 10 Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Joseph's | 0-0 | 0-0 | +15.2 | 100.5 | 85.3 | 61 |
| 2 | Richmond | 1-0 | 0-0 | +13.4 | 102.2 | 88.8 | 66 |
| 3 | Davidson | 0-2 | 0-0 | +10.5 | 98.0 | 87.5 | 75 |
| 4 | Rhode Island | 0-1 | 0-0 | +9.1 | 96.0 | 86.9 | 83 |
| 5 | George Mason | 2-0 | 0-0 | +5.0 | 94.1 | 89.1 | 99 |
| 6 | George Washington | 1-1 | 0-0 | +3.1 | 92.7 | 89.6 | 112 |
| 7 | Dayton | 0-1 | 0-0 | −1.5 | 92.0 | 93.5 | 153 |
| 8 | VCU | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.6 | 86.5 | 89.1 | 165 |
| 9 | La Salle | 0-1 | 0-0 | −2.8 | 89.1 | 91.8 | 167 |
| 10 | Fordham | 2-0 | 0-0 | −4.1 | 85.6 | 89.7 | 184 |
| 11 | Saint Louis | 1-1 | 0-0 | −4.8 | 91.0 | 95.8 | 186 |
| 12 | St. Bonaventure | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.2 | 86.7 | 93.9 | 205 |
| 13 | Duquesne | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.8 | 87.1 | 95.8 | 219 |
| 14 | Loyola Chicago | 1-0 | 0-0 | −10.4 | 86.2 | 96.7 | 235 |