Fordham Rams

Women's · Atlantic 10 Conference · 2-0, 0-0 in conference · last W2

Next: vs Monroe (NY) · Sun 8 Nov, 3 PM ET

Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.

Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons

Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 16-16

Net rating−4.2Rank 185 of 363 · offence 229, defence 116

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 16-16 (11 to 22 wins)
Projected conference record: 7-11
Wins or shares the conference title: <1%
Wins the conference tournament: <1%
Average seed if in the field: —
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field1%
Round of 32<1%
Sweet 160%
Elite Eight0%
Final Four0%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result	Pick
Mon 2 Nov	vs Niagararank 363	Home	97%	90-64	W 70-40	Right
Thu 5 Nov	vs St. Thomas Aquinasnot Division I	Home	—	—	W 70-62
Sun 8 Nov3 PM ET	vs Monroe (NY)not Division I	Home	—	—	—
Wed 11 Nov6 PM ET	at Bucknellrank 262	Away	56%	62-60	—

Rooting guide

Chance of the conference title now: <1% · the next 7 days

Wed 11 Nov: at BucknellA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Lakresha EdwardsG	2	35.5	17.0	3.5	1.0	−1.5	+0.5
Caitlyn MartinG	2	31.5	4.5	1.5	4.5	−1.2	+0.5
Anastasija VeljovicG	2	27.0	12.0	5.5	0.5	−2.1	0.0
Zala SrotF	2	24.5	4.5	4.5	2.0	−0.9	+0.6
Ugne SirtautaiteF	2	24.0	19.0	7.5	0.5	+1.0	+1.4
Ella AverillG	2	19.0	3.0	3.0	0.5	−0.8	+0.5
Carryn EasleyG	1	33.0	11.0	4.0	7.0	−0.4	+1.0
Precious OmosholaF	2	15.0	3.0	5.0	0.5	0.0	+0.6
Joy OsigweG	1	9.0	3.0	1.0	2.0	0.0	+0.4
Khloe MoyeG	1	5.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	+0.1	+0.2

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	44.9%rank 120	43.0%rank 36	44.6%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin	24.8%rank 305	24.2%rank 103	23.9%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin	32.1%rank 303	33.3%rank 124	33.5%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin	20.4%rank 225	19.1%rank 69	20.4%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Wins against the pre-game chances: 1.0 won, 1.0 expected (0.0)
Opponents' three-point shooting: +8.4 points a game (they shot 11.8%, league 28.3%)
Opponents' free throws: +3.5 points a game
Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

2 games played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: −4.6
Last season's net rating: −8.7
Last season's minutes returning: 54%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: −0.2
Change since preseason: +0.4

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 85.4 (rank 229)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 89.6 (rank 116)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 73.0 (rank 177)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: −35.4 (rank 275)

Atlantic 10 Conference by rating

14 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Saint Joseph's	0-0	0-0	+15.2	100.4	85.2	60
2	Richmond	1-0	0-0	+13.5	102.1	88.6	65
3	Davidson	0-1	0-0	+13.3	98.9	85.6	66
4	Rhode Island	0-1	0-0	+9.7	96.1	86.4	79
5	George Mason	1-0	0-0	+8.4	96.8	88.4	86
6	George Washington	1-0	0-0	+0.6	91.5	90.9	135
7	Dayton	0-0	0-0	−0.6	91.5	92.1	145
8	VCU	1-0	0-0	−2.6	86.4	89.0	167
9	La Salle	0-1	0-0	−2.7	89.0	91.7	168
10	Fordham	2-0	0-0	−4.2	85.4	89.6	185
11	Saint Louis	0-1	0-0	−6.2	89.3	95.5	196
12	St. Bonaventure	1-0	0-0	−7.2	86.6	93.8	206
13	Duquesne	0-1	0-0	−8.7	87.0	95.7	219
14	Loyola Chicago	1-0	0-0	−10.5	86.1	96.6	236