Loyola Chicago Ramblers
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 9-22
Net rating−10.5Rank 235 of 363 · offence 225, defence 272
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 9-22 (4 to 15 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 4-14
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- <1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | vs Wright Staterank 281 | Home | 76% | 70-60 | W 73-71 | Right |
| Sat 7 Nov7 PM ET | at Green Bayrank 83 | Away | 6% | 56-76 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov8 PM ET | vs Arkansas Staterank 127 | Home | 34% | 67-72 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: at Green BayA win: 0% · a loss: <1%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: vs Arkansas StateA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mireia JuradoG · transfer from Arizona | 1 | 35.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | −2.4 | −0.2 |
| Brooklyn VaughnF | 1 | 27.0 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | −0.3 | +0.9 |
| MD NtambueG · transfer from Villanova | 1 | 25.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | +0.2 | +1.1 |
| Kendall HendrixG | 1 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | −2.9 | −0.3 |
| Gabby WilkeF · transfer from Butler | 1 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −1.9 | +0.1 |
| Rosalie MercilleG | 1 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −3.1 | −0.3 |
| Angela Le FaouF · transfer from Pitt | 1 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −4.2 | −0.7 |
| Jasmine PerryG | 1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | −2.8 | −0.2 |
| Gemma WichmannF | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | −2.6 | −0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 45.0%rank 118 | 46.3%rank 323 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 24.5%rank 294 | 22.8%rank 310 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.4%rank 239 | 32.9%rank 92 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 21.9%rank 47 | 21.3%rank 281 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 1.0 won, 0.8 expected (+0.2)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −0.9 points a game (they shot 30.8%, league 28.5%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −0.1 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- 1-0
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −9.3
- Last season's net rating
- −3.2
- Last season's minutes returning
- 31%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +1.5
- Change since preseason
- −1.2
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 86.3 (rank 225)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 96.7 (rank 272)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.3 (rank 278)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −14.1 (rank 214)
Atlantic 10 Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Joseph's | 0-0 | 0-0 | +15.2 | 100.6 | 85.3 | 60 |
| 2 | Richmond | 1-0 | 0-0 | +13.8 | 102.0 | 88.2 | 64 |
| 3 | Davidson | 0-1 | 0-0 | +13.3 | 99.0 | 85.7 | 66 |
| 4 | Rhode Island | 0-1 | 0-0 | +9.7 | 96.2 | 86.6 | 79 |
| 5 | George Mason | 1-0 | 0-0 | +8.4 | 97.0 | 88.5 | 86 |
| 6 | George Washington | 1-0 | 0-0 | +0.6 | 91.7 | 91.1 | 135 |
| 7 | Dayton | 0-0 | 0-0 | −0.6 | 91.7 | 92.3 | 145 |
| 8 | VCU | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.2 | 86.8 | 89.0 | 166 |
| 9 | La Salle | 0-1 | 0-0 | −2.7 | 89.1 | 91.8 | 168 |
| 10 | Fordham | 2-0 | 0-0 | −3.0 | 86.4 | 89.4 | 174 |
| 11 | Saint Louis | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.2 | 89.4 | 95.7 | 199 |
| 12 | St. Bonaventure | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.2 | 86.8 | 94.0 | 206 |
| 13 | Duquesne | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.7 | 87.2 | 95.8 | 218 |
| 14 | Loyola Chicago | 1-0 | 0-0 | −10.5 | 86.3 | 96.7 | 235 |