Duquesne Dukes
Next: vs Clarion · Sun 8 Nov, 2 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 14-19
Net rating−8.7Rank 218 of 363 · offence 209, defence 250
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 14-19 (9 to 20 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 5-13
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- <1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Tennesseerank 25 | Away | 2% | 68-98 | L 62-109 | Right |
| Sun 8 Nov2 PM ET | vs Clarionnot Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov6 PM ET | vs Maristrank 292 | Home | 79% | 71-61 | — |
Rooting guide
- Wed 11 Nov: vs MaristA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla ViegasG · transfer from Pitt | 1 | 37.0 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Gabby Grantham-MedleyG | 1 | 25.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | −1.7 | +0.2 |
| Nadia MooreG | 1 | 25.0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −1.5 | +0.3 |
| Ayala OrenG | 1 | 25.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Amaya RobinsonG | 1 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Raevin WashingtonF | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −0.9 | +0.3 |
| De'Naya RippeyG · transfer from Saint Peter's | 1 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | −1.5 | +0.2 |
| Dunja ZecevicG | 1 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.5 |
| Maja RohkohlC | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −1.1 | +0.2 |
| Dieymarie DioufC | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
| Kellie McConnellG | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.6 | 0.0 |
| Dalma GretsG | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.7 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 43.8%rank 284 | 45.3%rank 266 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 24.8%rank 312 | 21.6%rank 356 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 35.8%rank 24 | 34.7%rank 297 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 19.8%rank 263 | 20.4%rank 136 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −11.7 points a game (they shot 37.0%, league 28.5%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −2.4 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −5.5
- Last season's net rating
- −6.5
- Last season's minutes returning
- 31%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −5.0
- Change since preseason
- −3.1
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 87.2 (rank 209)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 95.8 (rank 250)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 74.4 (rank 66)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +26.1 (rank 24)
Atlantic 10 Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Joseph's | 0-0 | 0-0 | +15.2 | 100.6 | 85.3 | 60 |
| 2 | Richmond | 1-0 | 0-0 | +13.8 | 102.0 | 88.2 | 64 |
| 3 | Davidson | 0-1 | 0-0 | +13.3 | 99.0 | 85.7 | 66 |
| 4 | Rhode Island | 0-1 | 0-0 | +9.7 | 96.2 | 86.6 | 79 |
| 5 | George Mason | 1-0 | 0-0 | +8.4 | 97.0 | 88.5 | 86 |
| 6 | George Washington | 1-0 | 0-0 | +0.6 | 91.7 | 91.1 | 135 |
| 7 | Dayton | 0-0 | 0-0 | −0.6 | 91.7 | 92.3 | 145 |
| 8 | VCU | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.2 | 86.8 | 89.0 | 166 |
| 9 | La Salle | 0-1 | 0-0 | −2.7 | 89.1 | 91.8 | 168 |
| 10 | Fordham | 2-0 | 0-0 | −3.0 | 86.4 | 89.4 | 174 |
| 11 | Saint Louis | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.2 | 89.4 | 95.7 | 199 |
| 12 | St. Bonaventure | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.2 | 86.8 | 94.0 | 206 |
| 13 | Duquesne | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.7 | 87.2 | 95.8 | 218 |
| 14 | Loyola Chicago | 1-0 | 0-0 | −10.5 | 86.3 | 96.7 | 235 |