Temple Owls

Women's · American Conference · 0-1, 0-0 in conference · last L1

Next: vs Navy · Sat 7 Nov, 2 PM ET

Navy45%55%Temple

Projected 71-69 · Game page

Makes the tournament7%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 12.1

Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 16-16

Net rating+1.3Rank 129 of 363 · offence 110, defence 165

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 16-16 (10 to 22 wins)
Projected conference record: 10-8
Wins or shares the conference title: 5%
Wins the conference tournament: 6%
Average seed if in the field: 12.1
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field7%
Round of 321%
Sweet 16<1%
Elite Eight0%
Final Four0%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result	Pick
Mon 2 Nov	at George Masonrank 86	Away	35%	77-82	L 71-91	Right
Sat 7 Nov2 PM ET	vs Navyrank 101	Home	55%	71-69	—
Wed 11 Nov6:30 PM ET	at La Sallerank 168	Away	46%	69-70	—

Rooting guide

Chance of making the NCAA tournament now: 7% · the next 7 days

Sat 7 Nov: vs NavyA win: 7% · a loss: 7%0 pts
Wed 11 Nov: at La SalleA win: 8% · a loss: 7%+1 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Khloe MillerF	1	31.0	6.0	6.0	0.0	−1.4	+0.5
Tristen TaylorG	1	28.0	12.0	4.0	5.0	+0.4	+1.4
Saniyah CraigF	1	26.0	10.0	2.0	0.0	+2.3	+2.2
Kaylah TurnerG	1	26.0	21.0	2.0	1.0	+2.3	+2.2
Shayla SmithG · transfer from Penn State	1	25.0	7.0	6.0	1.0	−0.6	+0.7
Taliyah LogwoodG · transfer from Texas Southern	1	18.0	9.0	3.0	3.0	+0.5	+0.9
Myla BentonG	1	16.0	0.0	2.0	0.0	−1.6	+0.2
Ariana MeriedyF	1	14.0	3.0	1.0	0.0	−0.3	+0.5
LaBrea CarterG	1	3.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	−1.2	+0.1

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	45.4%rank 80	46.6%rank 335	44.7%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin	23.8%rank 240	25.1%rank 38	23.8%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin	34.5%rank 76	36.0%rank 348	33.5%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin	22.6%rank 29	22.2%rank 325	20.5%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Wins against the pre-game chances: 0.0 won, 0.3 expected (−0.3)
Opponents' three-point shooting: −12.5 points a game (they shot 45.8%, league 28.4%)
Opponents' free throws: +2.4 points a game
Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: +4.2
Last season's net rating: +3.8
Last season's minutes returning: 49%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: −2.1
Change since preseason: −2.9

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 93.4 (rank 110)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 92.1 (rank 165)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 74.7 (rank 53)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: +8.4 (rank 82)

American Conference by rating

13 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Rice	1-0	0-0	+12.6	94.9	82.3	69
2	South Florida	1-0	0-0	+10.5	99.4	88.9	75
3	UTSA	0-0	0-0	+4.2	90.8	86.6	104
4	Tulane	1-0	0-0	+2.7	90.3	87.5	115
5	North Texas	1-1	0-0	+2.2	91.9	89.6	119
6	Temple	0-1	0-0	+1.3	93.4	92.1	129
7	East Carolina	1-0	0-0	−2.2	88.0	90.2	167
8	Tulsa	0-1	0-0	−2.8	88.5	91.3	169
9	Memphis	1-0	0-0	−4.9	87.2	92.1	189
10	Charlotte	0-1	0-0	−5.2	89.3	94.6	191
11	UAB	1-0	0-0	−8.3	87.4	95.7	212
12	Florida Atlantic	0-1	0-0	−8.6	84.9	93.5	217
13	Wichita State	0-1	0-0	−14.1	78.4	92.5	279