Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Next: vs Rogers State · Sat 7 Nov, 3 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament3%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 13.2
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 16-17
Net rating−2.8Rank 171 of 363 · offence 182, defence 146
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 16-17 (10 to 23 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 8-10
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 2%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 2%
- Average seed if in the field
- 13.2
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field3%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | vs Incarnate Wordrank 212 | Home | 93% | 79-58 | L 57-63 | Wrong |
| Sat 7 Nov3 PM ET | vs Rogers Statenot Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov6 PM ET | vs Oklahoma Staterank 22 | Home | 5% | 58-80 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 12 Nov: vs Oklahoma StateA win: 1% · a loss: 2%−1 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa KinasG · transfer from Loyola Chicago | 1 | 37.0 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | +1.1 | +2.2 |
| Jade ClackG | 1 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −0.5 | +1.1 |
| Mady CartwrightG | 1 | 33.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | +0.2 | +1.5 |
| Dora TomanG | 1 | 26.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | +0.9 | +1.5 |
| Alisha PeavyG | 1 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Laura Di StefanoF | 1 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | −2.6 | −0.2 |
| Jaelynn ScottG | 1 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Haven FisherG | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
| Hadar CohenF | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| McKenzie JonesG | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.3%rank 259 | 45.6%rank 286 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 24.3%rank 281 | 23.1%rank 287 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 30.6%rank 356 | 32.4%rank 70 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 18.5%rank 342 | 23.6%rank 348 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.9 expected (−0.9)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +6.0 points a game (they shot 14.3%, league 28.5%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +4.1 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- +3.3
- Last season's net rating
- +1.1
- Last season's minutes returning
- 66%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.5
- Change since preseason
- −6.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 88.6 (rank 182)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 91.4 (rank 146)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 74.3 (rank 72)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −8.3 (rank 176)
American Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rice | 1-0 | 0-0 | +12.5 | 95.0 | 82.4 | 69 |
| 2 | South Florida | 1-0 | 0-0 | +10.5 | 99.4 | 89.0 | 75 |
| 3 | UTSA | 0-0 | 0-0 | +4.2 | 90.9 | 86.7 | 104 |
| 4 | Tulane | 1-0 | 0-0 | +2.7 | 90.3 | 87.6 | 115 |
| 5 | North Texas | 1-1 | 0-0 | +2.3 | 92.0 | 89.7 | 119 |
| 6 | Temple | 0-1 | 0-0 | +1.3 | 93.5 | 92.1 | 129 |
| 7 | East Carolina | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.3 | 88.1 | 90.3 | 167 |
| 8 | Tulsa | 0-1 | 0-0 | −2.8 | 88.6 | 91.4 | 171 |
| 9 | Memphis | 1-0 | 0-0 | −4.9 | 87.3 | 92.2 | 189 |
| 10 | Charlotte | 0-1 | 0-0 | −5.3 | 89.4 | 94.7 | 191 |
| 11 | UAB | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.3 | 87.5 | 95.8 | 213 |
| 12 | Florida Atlantic | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.6 | 85.0 | 93.6 | 217 |
| 13 | Wichita State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.0 | 78.5 | 92.5 | 279 |