Wichita State Shockers
Next: at Kansas City · Fri 6 Nov, 6:30 PM ETProjected 59-64 · Game page
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 9-23
Net rating−14.0Rank 278 of 363 · offence 328, defence 175
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 9-23 (4 to 14 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 4-14
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- <1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Kansas Staterank 58 | Away | 1% | 62-95 | L 41-61 | Right |
| Fri 6 Nov6:30 PM ET | at Kansas Cityrank 276 | Away | 36% | 59-64 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov12 PM ET | vs Missouri Staterank 73 | Home | 11% | 54-69 | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: at Kansas CityA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
- Tue 10 Nov: vs Missouri StateA win: 0% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mari MiltonG | 1 | 36.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | −3.0 | −0.5 |
| Ma'Riya VincentG · transfer from Missouri | 1 | 28.0 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | −1.5 | +0.3 |
| Alexis LeyvaG | 1 | 28.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | −2.8 | −0.3 |
| Kendal RobinsonG · transfer from UT Arlington | 1 | 22.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.2 | −0.4 |
| Kaylea LaceyG | 1 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −2.5 | −0.1 |
| Lily BaF · transfer from Louisiana | 1 | 14.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −4.7 | −0.7 |
| Lili HarrisonF · transfer from Delaware St | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −3.9 | −0.4 |
| Clara KoulibalyF · transfer from Auburn | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −1.2 | +0.2 |
| Aaliyah BroadusG | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.4 | 0.0 |
| Klea KaciG · transfer from Wagner | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −4.4 | −0.4 |
| Rachel SkulskyG | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 43.0%rank 326 | 43.5%rank 66 | 44.6% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 24.0%rank 243 | 23.1%rank 294 | 23.9% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.4%rank 233 | 31.8%rank 50 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 19.6%rank 271 | 20.7%rank 246 | 20.4% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −0.6 points a game (they shot 29.2%, league 28.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +2.3 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −16.3
- Last season's net rating
- −11.5
- Last season's minutes returning
- 0%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −5.7
- Change since preseason
- +2.3
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 78.4 (rank 328)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 92.4 (rank 175)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.6 (rank 229)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +15.3 (rank 56)
American Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rice | 1-0 | 0-0 | +12.5 | 94.8 | 82.3 | 69 |
| 2 | South Florida | 1-0 | 0-0 | +10.4 | 99.3 | 88.8 | 76 |
| 3 | UTSA | 0-0 | 0-0 | +4.2 | 90.8 | 86.6 | 104 |
| 4 | Tulane | 1-0 | 0-0 | +2.7 | 90.2 | 87.5 | 114 |
| 5 | North Texas | 1-1 | 0-0 | +2.3 | 91.8 | 89.5 | 119 |
| 6 | Temple | 0-1 | 0-0 | +1.4 | 93.3 | 92.0 | 128 |
| 7 | East Carolina | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.3 | 87.9 | 90.2 | 164 |
| 8 | Tulsa | 0-1 | 0-0 | −2.8 | 88.5 | 91.3 | 170 |
| 9 | Memphis | 1-0 | 0-0 | −4.9 | 87.2 | 92.0 | 188 |
| 10 | Charlotte | 0-2 | 0-0 | −6.6 | 86.9 | 93.5 | 199 |
| 11 | UAB | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.3 | 87.3 | 95.7 | 214 |
| 12 | Florida Atlantic | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.5 | 84.9 | 93.4 | 218 |
| 13 | Wichita State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.0 | 78.4 | 92.4 | 278 |