UAB Blazers

Women's · American Conference · 1-0, 0-0 in conference · last W1

Next: at South Alabama · Sat 7 Nov, 2 PM ET

UAB38%62%South Alabama

Projected 66-71 · Game page

Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 13.4

Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 15-18

Net rating−8.3Rank 213 of 363 · offence 200, defence 249

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 15-18 (8 to 22 wins)
Projected conference record: 6-12
Wins or shares the conference title: 1%
Wins the conference tournament: 1%
Average seed if in the field: 13.4
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field1%
Round of 32<1%
Sweet 160%
Elite Eight0%
Final Four0%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result
Wed 4 Nov	vs Fisknot Division I	Home	—	—	W 77-67
Sat 7 Nov2 PM ET	at South Alabamarank 220	Away	38%	66-71	—
Wed 11 Nov7 PM ET	vs Stillmannot Division I	Home	—	—	—

Rooting guide

Chance of the conference title now: 1% · the next 7 days

Sat 7 Nov: at South AlabamaA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Viktoria RanisavljevicG · transfer from Penn State	1	37.0	10.0	2.0	8.0	−1.4	+0.5
Hailey JacksonF	1	34.0	29.0	4.0	2.0	−2.8	−0.4
Nya BurnsG	1	25.0	10.0	2.0	2.0	−2.8	−0.3
Peyton BradleyG · transfer from Louisville	1	24.0	14.0	3.0	1.0	+2.4	+2.0
Ashley GarnerF	1	23.0	9.0	15.0	2.0	−2.6	−0.2
Eleecia CarterG	1	22.0	3.0	4.0	1.0	−1.9	+0.1
Mari MillerG	1	12.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	−3.2	−0.2
Emilia DannebauerF · transfer from UTSA	1	11.0	0.0	5.0	0.0	−0.9	+0.2
Serena HeerenF	1	6.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	−2.2	0.0

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	44.7%rank 137	44.7%rank 132	44.7%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin	23.8%rank 144	23.8%rank 126	23.8%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin	33.5%rank 137	33.5%rank 133	33.5%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin	20.5%rank 127	20.5%rank 139	20.5%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: −8.3
Last season's net rating: −3.3
Last season's minutes returning: 18%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: +1.0
Change since preseason: 0.0

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 87.5 (rank 200)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 95.8 (rank 249)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 73.4 (rank 155)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: —

American Conference by rating

13 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Rice	1-0	0-0	+12.5	95.0	82.4	69
2	South Florida	1-0	0-0	+10.5	99.4	89.0	75
3	UTSA	0-0	0-0	+4.2	90.9	86.7	104
4	Tulane	1-0	0-0	+2.7	90.3	87.6	115
5	North Texas	1-1	0-0	+2.3	92.0	89.7	119
6	Temple	0-1	0-0	+1.3	93.5	92.1	129
7	East Carolina	1-0	0-0	−2.3	88.1	90.3	167
8	Tulsa	0-1	0-0	−2.8	88.6	91.4	171
9	Memphis	1-0	0-0	−4.9	87.3	92.2	189
10	Charlotte	0-1	0-0	−5.3	89.4	94.7	191
11	UAB	1-0	0-0	−8.3	87.5	95.8	213
12	Florida Atlantic	0-1	0-0	−8.6	85.0	93.6	217
13	Wichita State	0-1	0-0	−14.0	78.5	92.5	279