Memphis Tigers
Makes the tournament2%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 13.4
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 15-18
Net rating−4.9Rank 189 of 363 · offence 207, defence 167
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 15-18 (8 to 22 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 8-10
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 2%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 2%
- Average seed if in the field
- 13.4
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field2%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs LeMoyne-Owennot Division I | Home | — | — | W 78-42 | |
| Fri 6 Nov7 PM ET | vs Middle Tennesseerank 113 | Home | 45% | 67-68 | — | |
| Mon 9 Nov7 PM ET | vs Little Rockrank 230 | Home | 75% | 71-61 | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov7 PM ET | vs Alabamarank 33 | Home | 9% | 61-80 | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: vs Middle TennesseeA win: 2% · a loss: 2%0 pts
- Mon 9 Nov: vs Little RockA win: 2% · a loss: 2%0 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: vs AlabamaA win: 2% · a loss: 2%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anjanae RichardsonG · transfer from Norfolk St | 1 | 34.0 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | −1.7 | +0.3 |
| Jordan HunterG | 1 | 31.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −2.0 | +0.1 |
| Daejah RichmondG | 1 | 30.0 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | +1.2 |
| Tierney KelseyG · transfer from Indiana St | 1 | 26.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | −2.5 | −0.2 |
| Tamya SmithF | 1 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −0.3 | +0.8 |
| Destiny ThomasC · transfer from Cincinnati | 1 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | +1.6 | +1.5 |
| Ainaya WilliamsC · transfer from SE Missouri | 1 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | +0.7 | +1.0 |
| Bailey GilmoreF | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.7 | −0.2 |
| Khyra GarrettG | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Lily MeltonG | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
| Aubrey HamptonC | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.7%rank 137 | 44.7%rank 132 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.8%rank 144 | 23.8%rank 126 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.5%rank 137 | 33.5%rank 133 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.5%rank 127 | 20.5%rank 139 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −4.9
- Last season's net rating
- −5.4
- Last season's minutes returning
- 43%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −3.1
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 87.3 (rank 207)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 92.2 (rank 167)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 75.5 (rank 17)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
American Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rice | 1-0 | 0-0 | +12.5 | 95.0 | 82.4 | 69 |
| 2 | South Florida | 1-0 | 0-0 | +10.5 | 99.4 | 89.0 | 75 |
| 3 | UTSA | 0-0 | 0-0 | +4.2 | 90.9 | 86.7 | 104 |
| 4 | Tulane | 1-0 | 0-0 | +2.7 | 90.3 | 87.6 | 115 |
| 5 | North Texas | 1-1 | 0-0 | +2.3 | 92.0 | 89.7 | 119 |
| 6 | Temple | 0-1 | 0-0 | +1.3 | 93.5 | 92.1 | 129 |
| 7 | East Carolina | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.3 | 88.1 | 90.3 | 167 |
| 8 | Tulsa | 0-1 | 0-0 | −2.8 | 88.6 | 91.4 | 171 |
| 9 | Memphis | 1-0 | 0-0 | −4.9 | 87.3 | 92.2 | 189 |
| 10 | Charlotte | 0-1 | 0-0 | −5.3 | 89.4 | 94.7 | 191 |
| 11 | UAB | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.3 | 87.5 | 95.8 | 213 |
| 12 | Florida Atlantic | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.6 | 85.0 | 93.6 | 217 |
| 13 | Wichita State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.0 | 78.5 | 92.5 | 279 |