Dartmouth Big Green
Next: at Holy Cross · Thu 5 Nov, 6 PM ETProjected 53-67 · Game page
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 10-19
Net rating−12.3Rank 259 of 363 · offence 292, defence 205
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 10-19 (6 to 14 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 2-12
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 0%
- Wins the conference tournament
- <1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Boston Universityrank 256 | Home | 59% | 77-74 | W 56-49 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov6 PM ET | at Holy Crossrank 141 | Away | 13% | 53-67 | Live | |
| Wed 11 Nov6:30 PM ET | vs New Hampshirerank 264 | Home | 64% | 63-58 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 5 Nov: at Holy CrossA win: <1% · a loss: 0%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: vs New HampshireA win: <1% · a loss: 0%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra EldredgeG | 1 | 38.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | −2.6 | −0.3 |
| Catherine MacDonaldF | 1 | 33.0 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | −0.7 | +0.8 |
| Sierra CarsonG | 1 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | −4.0 | −0.9 |
| Olivia AustinF | 1 | 26.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | −1.5 | +0.3 |
| Zeynep OzelG | 1 | 25.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | −3.0 | −0.4 |
| Tahira MuhammadG | 1 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −4.1 | −0.7 |
| Peyton HoblockF | 1 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −0.9 | +0.4 |
| Jacalyn MyrthilG | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −4.2 | −0.5 |
| Debra HillF | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.4 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.1%rank 270 | 45.0%rank 246 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 24.0%rank 258 | 24.9%rank 49 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 31.2%rank 337 | 34.5%rank 287 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 18.1%rank 348 | 18.6%rank 36 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 1.0 won, 0.6 expected (+0.4)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +4.2 points a game (they shot 23.1%, league 28.5%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +0.4 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −12.9
- Last season's net rating
- −19.9
- Last season's minutes returning
- 76%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −2.0
- Change since preseason
- +0.6
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 81.9 (rank 292)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 94.2 (rank 205)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.7 (rank 319)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −12.2 (rank 194)