Probable StatsCollege basketball, rated
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Updated Thu 5 Nov, 7:14 PM ET

Scores, schedules and lines from ESPN; past seasons from sportsdataverse. Not affiliated with any team, league or bookmaker.

Cornell Big Red

Women's · Ivy League · 0-1, 0-0 in conference · last L1

Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 14-17
Net rating−6.6Rank 200 of 363 · offence 231, defence 165

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons
Projected record
14-17 (9 to 18 wins)
Projected conference record
4-10
Wins or shares the conference title
<1%
Wins the conference tournament
<1%
Average seed if in the field
—
A 1 seed
0%
  1. Makes the field<1%
  2. Round of 32<1%
  3. Sweet 160%
  4. Elite Eight0%
  5. Final Four0%
  6. Title game0%
  7. Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game
DateOpponentWhereWin chanceProjectedResultPick
Mon 2 Novat UConnrank 1Away0%52-107L 35-100Right
Thu 5 Nov7 PM ETvs SUNY Fredonianot Division IHome——Live
Sun 8 Nov12 PM ETat Syracuserank 53Away4%53-76—

Rooting guide

Chance of the conference title now: <1% · the next 7 days
  1. Sun 8 Nov: at SyracuseA win: 0% · a loss: <1%0 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement
PlayerGamesMinutesPointsReboundsAssistsRatingValue
Kelsey LangstonG125.00.03.03.0−3.6−0.6
Clarke JacksonG122.04.03.00.0−0.1+0.8
Katie LeonardG121.05.03.00.0−0.7+0.6
Rachel KausF119.08.01.00.0+0.3+0.8
Paige EngelsG119.00.02.02.0−1.8+0.1
Audrey ChenG119.02.00.01.0−2.0+0.1
Ally PapeG117.07.01.00.0−1.8+0.1
Simone RichmondG117.07.04.00.0−0.6+0.5
Ashley ChildersF115.02.01.02.0−1.6+0.1
Grace RennersF111.00.02.00.0−1.4+0.1
Rhylin FehrenbachG16.00.00.00.0−0.2+0.2
Brooke Nunnally-GardnerF15.00.01.01.0−0.2+0.2
Willa ChinnG13.00.00.00.0−2.50.0
Alana AndrewsF11.00.00.00.0−0.60.0

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

OffenceDefenceLeague
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin43.0%rank 33247.3%rank 35444.7%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin25.5%rank 34223.5%rank 24923.8%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin31.2%rank 34033.7%rank 23633.5%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin18.3%rank 34719.0%rank 5720.5%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Wins against the pre-game chances
0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
Opponents' three-point shooting
−15.9 points a game (they shot 55.0%, league 28.5%)
Opponents' free throws
−1.5 points a game
Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team
−8−6−4−20+21 NovNow−6.6−8−6−4−20+21 NovNow−6.6
Preseason net rating
−7.8
Last season's net rating
−15.8
Last season's minutes returning
84%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes
0.0
Change since preseason
+1.3
Offence, points per 100 possessions
85.6 (rank 231)
Defence, points allowed per 100
92.2 (rank 165)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
71.4 (rank 338)
Schedule so far, opponents' average
+51.2 (rank 1)

Ivy League by rating

8 teams
#TeamRecordConferenceNetOffenceDefenceNational rank
1Princeton1-00-0+20.3105.985.537
2Columbia1-00-0+17.9103.585.643
3Harvard0-10-0+15.399.083.759
4Pennsylvania1-00-0+5.494.489.099
5Brown0-10-0−4.388.592.7185
6Cornell0-10-0−6.685.692.2200
7Yale1-00-0−8.786.294.9218
8Dartmouth1-00-0−12.381.994.2259