Princeton Tigers
Makes the tournament72%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 8.7
Wins the national title0%Final Four <1% · projected 25-6
Net rating+20.3Rank 37 of 363 · offence 26, defence 60
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 25-6 (20 to 29 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 12-2
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 54%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 42%
- Average seed if in the field
- 8.7
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field72%
- Round of 3234%
- Sweet 163%
- Elite Eight1%
- Final Four<1%
- Title game<1%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Belmontrank 123 | Home | 95% | 92-69 | W 63-52 | Right |
| Fri 6 Nov6 PM ET | at Richmondrank 64 | Away | 52% | 70-69 | — | |
| Sun 8 Nov12 PM ET | vs Murray Staterank 73 | Neutral | 73% | 77-69 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov7 PM ET | vs Villanovarank 39 | Home | 66% | 75-70 | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: at RichmondA win: 75% · a loss: 68%+7 pts
- Sun 8 Nov: vs Murray StateA win: 73% · a loss: 67%+6 pts
- Tue 10 Nov: vs VillanovaA win: 74% · a loss: 67%+7 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fadima TallF | 1 | 37.0 | 29.0 | 22.0 | 1.0 | +7.6 | +6.4 |
| Skye BelkerG | 1 | 36.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | +3.9 | +3.9 |
| Olivia HutchersonG | 1 | 28.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | +5.9 | +4.0 |
| Ashley CheaG | 1 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | +3.4 | +2.6 |
| Grace O'SullivanG | 1 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | +1.5 | +1.4 |
| Toby NwekeG | 1 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | +3.7 | +1.7 |
| Emily EadieF | 1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | +2.2 | +1.2 |
| Cristina ParrellaG | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | +1.5 | +0.7 |
| Mari BickleyG | 1 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.7 | +0.2 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 43.3%rank 315 | 44.6%rank 125 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.4%rank 101 | 22.5%rank 325 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 34.6%rank 72 | 33.9%rank 250 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 21.4%rank 71 | 18.0%rank 11 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 1.0 won, 0.9 expected (+0.1)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +5.1 points a game (they shot 20.0%, league 28.5%)
- Opponents' free throws
- 0.0 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- +22.3
- Last season's net rating
- +23.2
- Last season's minutes returning
- 79%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- 0.0
- Change since preseason
- −2.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 105.9 (rank 26)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 85.5 (rank 60)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.0 (rank 351)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +1.7 (rank 108)