Rider Broncs
Next: at C Connecticut · Thu 12 Nov, 7 PM ETProjected 60-57 · Game page
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 12-19
Net rating−19.4Rank 320 of 363 · offence 346, defence 230
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 12-19 (6 to 17 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 8-12
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- <1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at NJITrank 190 | Away | 8% | 66-86 | L 45-50 | Right |
| Thu 12 Nov7 PM ET | at Central Connecticutrank 355 | Away | 60% | 60-57 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 12 Nov: at Central ConnecticutA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliya McIverG | 1 | 39.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | −3.3 | −0.8 |
| Giana HoddinottG · transfer from Mount St Marys | 1 | 36.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −3.2 | −0.7 |
| Gabby SweeneyF · transfer from Mercyhurst | 1 | 35.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | −7.0 | −3.0 |
| Julia KarpellG · transfer from Fairfield | 1 | 28.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −1.1 | +0.5 |
| Aina Perez MesquidaG | 1 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −4.9 | −1.2 |
| Alena CofieldG | 1 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −4.8 | −1.0 |
| Millie PerryG | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Colleen BesachioF | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Rebekah HartzellG | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 42.5%rank 347 | 42.9%rank 24 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 22.2%rank 26 | 25.5%rank 26 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 34.2%rank 94 | 33.6%rank 232 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 19.2%rank 298 | 21.5%rank 298 | 20.5% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.1 expected (−0.1)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +10.6 points a game (they shot 13.0%, league 28.4%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +1.9 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- 0-1
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −21.6
- Last season's net rating
- −23.0
- Last season's minutes returning
- 49%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −2.2
- Change since preseason
- +2.2
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 75.5 (rank 346)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 95.0 (rank 230)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.6 (rank 330)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −4.9 (rank 161)
Metro Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fairfield | 0-0 | 0-0 | +15.4 | 101.3 | 85.9 | 55 |
| 2 | Quinnipiac | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.9 | 89.9 | 91.8 | 160 |
| 3 | Siena | 1-0 | 0-0 | −9.3 | 86.6 | 95.9 | 226 |
| 4 | Sacred Heart | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.6 | 79.9 | 95.5 | 291 |
| 5 | Marist | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.6 | 82.8 | 98.4 | 292 |
| 6 | Manhattan | 1-0 | 0-0 | −16.1 | 80.7 | 96.7 | 294 |
| 7 | Merrimack | 0-1 | 0-0 | −16.5 | 78.7 | 95.2 | 297 |
| 8 | Mount St. Mary's | 0-1 | 0-0 | −18.1 | 80.0 | 98.1 | 311 |
| 9 | Rider | 0-1 | 0-0 | −19.4 | 75.5 | 95.0 | 320 |
| 10 | Iona | 1-1 | 0-0 | −19.6 | 83.7 | 103.2 | 323 |
| 11 | Canisius | 0-0 | 0-0 | −21.1 | 78.1 | 99.1 | 332 |
| 12 | Saint Peter's | 0-1 | 0-0 | −26.3 | 76.8 | 103.1 | 350 |
| 13 | Niagara | 0-1 | 0-0 | −30.9 | 69.9 | 100.9 | 359 |